Description of field of research

This research project is to develop an integrated assessment model for strategic policy and infrastructure development pathway analysis under different scenarios for decarbonising the freight heavy vehicle industry. This integrated simulation model will consist of the following sub-models: freight transport demand forecast, heavy vehicle utilisation and fleet ownership, electric and hydrogen supply, and policy. Various policies will be tested to assess the impacts of various policies on accelerating the decarbonisation of the heavy vehicle sector and reaching the targets. These include carbon pricing of the heavy vehicle industry, fuel excise tax for electric or hydrogen fuel cell trucks, infrastructure investments, a staged pathway for launching refuelling/charging infrastructure and route considerations. This model will be built based on the Systems Dynamics approach.

School

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Research Area

Environmental engineering, transport fleet electrification, zero emission freight heavy vehicles, policy, modelling, strategic decision making, system dynamics

The project team currently consists of myself and a Postdoctoral Research fellow at the Research Centre for Integrated Transport Innovation (rCITI) of the School of Civil and Environmental Engineering. Students recruited on this project will contribute to this study by undertaking several tasks such as literature review, data collection, and model component developments. The project team is closely working with the industry to gauge the research question based on the real needs of governments and industry. There will be opportunities for students to engage with industry through stakeholder meetings or workshops.

Using this model-based policy analysis, the road managers can be advised on the effectiveness of various policies on future-proofing the pathway for electrified/hydrogen fuel cell heavy vehicles adoption, transition and laying the foundations for the required infrastructure and grid capacity plans to expand the (direct/indirect) electrification of heavy vehicle ranges and reaching the 2050 target.

The project team is planning to build this prototype and expand it further to establish a long-term planning tool such as the AsTra model (http://www.astra-model.eu) developed in Europe.