Professor Lucy Marshall

Professor Lucy Marshall

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Research interest

I quantify new conceptualizations of hydrologic processes and develop methods for model diagnostics and uncertainty analysis (especially via Bayesian statistics and multi-model methods).

Interest in engineering

Why did you get into engineering?

I am very interested in problem solving, especially problems that arise due to management of Australia’s limited natural resources. Water is a fundamental resource, essential for survival, and I am very interested in the dynamics of water resources and how we can forecast water availability.

What are your research goals?

To develop new methods for quantifying available water resources, whether that is by new types of hydrologic models, new analysis of field observations, or better ways of assessing and using existing models.

What do people not understand about you do?

That models can be hugely useful for developing hypotheses about how natural systems will respond to change, but will always have uncertainties associated with them.


Ph.D. Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New South Wales, 2006.

Master of Engineering Science, University of New South Wales, 2002.

Bachelor of Civil Engineering, University of New South Wales, 2001. 

(+61 2) 9385 7944
Vallentine Annexe (H22) Level 1, Room VA132 Kensington Campus
  • Journal articles | 2022
    Li D; Marshall L; Liang Z; Sharma A, 2022, 'Hydrologic multi-model ensemble predictions using variational Bayesian deep learning', Journal of Hydrology, vol. 604,
    Journal articles | 2022
    Ly K; Metternicht G; Marshall L, 2022, 'Transboundary river basins: Scenarios of hydropower development and operation under extreme climate conditions', Science of the Total Environment, vol. 803,
    Journal articles | 2021
    Li D; Marshall L; Liang Z; Sharma A; Zhou Y, 2021, 'Bayesian LSTM With Stochastic Variational Inference for Estimating Model Uncertainty in Process-Based Hydrological Models', Water Resources Research, vol. 57,
    Journal articles | 2021
    Li D; Marshall L; Liang Z; Sharma A; Zhou Y, 2021, 'Characterizing distributed hydrological model residual errors using a probabilistic long short-term memory network', Journal of Hydrology, vol. 603,
    Journal articles | 2021
    Wu X; Marshall L; Sharma A, 2021, 'Quantifying input error in hydrologic modeling using the Bayesian error analysis with reordering (BEAR) approach', Journal of Hydrology, vol. 598,
    Journal articles | 2013
    Jones LA; Muhlfeld CC; Marshall LA; Mcglynn BL; Kershner JL, 2013, 'Estimating thermal regimes of bull trout and assessing the potential effects of climate warming on critical habitats', River Research and Applications,
    Journal articles | 2012
    Schleier JJ; Peterson RKD; Irvine KM; Marshall LM; Weaver DK; Preftakes CJ, 2012, 'Environmental fate model for ultra-low-volume insecticide applications used for adult mosquito management', Science of the Total Environment, vol. 438, pp. 72 - 79,