Dr Richard Gray
Senior Lecturer

Dr Richard Gray

BSC (Hons), PhD

Medicine & Health
The Kirby Institute

Dr Richard Gray is a Senior Research Fellow in the Surveillance, Evaluation and Research Program at the Kirby Institute. He leads the Mathematical Epidemiology and Evaluation Research Group and has extensive experience designing, implementing, and analysing models of the transmission of HIV, viral hepatitis, other sexually transmitted infections (STIs), SARS-CoV-2, and arboviruses.

Richard has collaborated with social researchers, epidemiologists, clinicians and public health workers to develop numerous complex models to understand the trajectories of epidemics and evaluate the potential impact of public health strategies in Australia, Papua New Guinea (PNG), across Asia, Eastern Europe and Africa.

Richard led the modelling of DAA treatment roll-out for HCV to inform the coverage required to meet the WHO HCV elimination targets. He also conducted mathematical modelling to assess the cost-effectiveness of PrEP for HIV prevention in Australian gay men. Based on this analysis, among other matters, the Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee recommended the listing of HIV PrEP onto the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme.

Richard is responsible for producing annual estimates of Australia’s diagnosis and care cascades for HIV, viral hepatitis, and other STIs in the reported in the HIV, viral hepatitis and sexually transmissible infections for national surveillance. In the past he has completed projects for Australian departments of health, key Australian community organizations, WHO, UNAIDS, and the World Bank. He regularly provides estimates of HIV epidemiology, burden, and program costs to the Australian Department of Health and the key community organizations to inform policy development.

Phone
+61-2-9385 0925
Location
Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building High Street, UNSW Australia Kensington NSW 2052
  • Book Chapters | 2020
    Fisenka A; Gray R; Yurouski P; Iiyenkova V; Wilson D; Gorgens M; benedikt CJ, 2020, 'Belarus From Analysis to Action: Changing HIV Budgets Based on Allocative Efficiency Analysis', in Tackling the World’s Fastest Growing HIV Epidemic: Gateways to Efficient and Effective HIV Responses in Eastern Europe and Centra Asia, The World Bank, Washington DC
    Book Chapters | 2020
    Plamadeala S; Gray R; Oltu I; Pirtina S; Popovici S; Gantea L; Wilson D; Goroshko A; Benedikt CJ, 2020, 'Moldova Designing Efficient HIV Programs for Subnational HIV Epidemics', in Tackling the World’s Fastest Growing HIV Epidemic: Gateways to Efficient and Effective HIV Responses in Eastern Europe and Centra Asia, The World Bank, Washington DC
    Book Chapters | 2019
    Sarybaeva M; Shattock A; Mambetov T; Bashmakova L; Ianbukhtina L; Manova M; Gray R; Benedikt C; Ward K, 2019, 'Kyrgyz Republic: Addressing the HIV Treatment Gap', in Zhao F; Benedikt C; Wilson D (ed.), Tackling the World’s Fastest Growing HIV Epidemic: Gateways to Efficient and Effective HIV Responses in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, World Bank, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 155 - 155, http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33959
  • Journal articles | 2022
    Blach S; Terrault NA; Tacke F; Gamkrelidze I; Craxi A; Tanaka J; Waked I; Dore GJ; Abbas Z; Abdallah AR; Abdulla M; Aghemo A; Aho I; Akarca US; Alalwan AM; Alanko Blomé M; Al-Busafi SA; Aleman S; Alghamdi AS; Al-Hamoudi WK; Aljumah AA; Al-Naamani K; Al Serkal YM; Altraif IH; Anand AC; Anderson M; Andersson MI; Athanasakis K; Baatarkhuu O; Bakieva SR; Ben-Ari Z; Bessone F; Biondi MJ; Bizri ARN; Brandão-Mello CE; Brigida K; Brown KA; Brown, RS; Bruggmann P; Brunetto MR; Busschots D; Buti M; Butsashvili M; Cabezas J; Chae C; Chaloska Ivanova V; Chan HLY; Cheinquer H; Cheng KJ; Cheon ME; Chien CH; Chien RN; Choudhuri G; Christensen PB; Chuang WL; Chulanov V; Cisneros LE; Coco B; Contreras FA; Cornberg M; Cramp ME; Crespo J; Cui F; Cunningham CW; Dagher Abou L; Dalgard O; Dao DY; De Ledinghen V; Derbala MF; Deuba K; Dhindsa K; Djauzi S; Drazilova S; Duberg AS; Elbadri M; El-Sayed MH; Esmat G; Estes C; Ezzat S; Färkkilä MA; Ferradini L; Ferraz MLG; Ferreira PRA; Filipec Kanizaj T; Flisiak R; Frankova S; Fung J; Gamkrelidze A; Gane E; Garcia V; García-Samaniego J; Gemilyan M; Genov J; Gheorghe LS; Gholam PM; Goldis A; Gottfredsson M; Gray RT; Grebely J; Gschwantler M, 2022, 'Global change in hepatitis C virus prevalence and cascade of care between 2015 and 2020: a modelling study', The Lancet Gastroenterology and Hepatology, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2468-1253(21)00472-6
    Journal articles | 2022
    Hui BB; Padeniya TN; Rebuli N; Gray RT; Wood JG; Donovan B; Duan Q; Guy R; Hocking JS; Lahra MM; Lewis DA; Whiley DM; Regan DG; Seib KL, 2022, 'A Gonococcal Vaccine Has the Potential to Rapidly Reduce the Incidence of Neisseria gonorrhoeae Infection among Urban Men Who Have Sex with Men', Journal of Infectious Diseases, vol. 225, pp. 983 - 993, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiab581
    Journal articles | 2022
    Hui BB; Ward JS; Guy R; Law MG; Gray RT; Regan DG, 2022, 'Impact of Testing Strategies to Combat a Major Syphilis Outbreak Among Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Peoples: A Mathematical Modeling Study', Open Forum Infectious Diseases, vol. 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofac119
    Journal articles | 2022
    Lim M; Devine A; Gray RT; Kwon JA; Hutchinson JL; Ong JJ, 2022, 'Lifetime cost of HIV management in Australia: an economic model', Sexual Health, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/SH21250
    Journal articles | 2022
    Walker ML; Stiasny D; Guy RJ; Law MG; Holt M; Mao L; Donovan B; Grulich AE; Gray RT; Regan DG, 2022, 'Assessing the Impact of HIV Preexposure Prophylaxis Scale-Up on Gonorrhea Incidence among Gay and Bisexual Men in Sydney: A Mathematical Modeling Study', Sexually Transmitted Diseases, vol. 49, pp. 534 - 540, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/OLQ.0000000000001649
    Journal articles | 2021
    Caldwell JM; de Lara-Tuprio E; Teng TR; Estuar MRJE; Sarmiento RFR; Abayawardana M; Leong RNF; Gray RT; Wood JG; Le LV; McBryde ES; Ragonnet R; Trauer JM, 2021, 'Understanding COVID-19 dynamics and the effects of interventions in the Philippines: A mathematical modelling study', The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific, vol. 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2021.100211
    Journal articles | 2021
    Kwon JA; Chambers GM; Luciani F; Zhang L; Kinathil S; Kim D; Thein HH; Botha W; Thompson S; Lloyd A; Yap L; Gray RT; Butler T, 2021, 'Hepatitis C treatment strategies in prisons: A cost-effectiveness analysis', PLoS ONE, vol. 16, pp. e0245896, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245896
    Journal articles | 2021
    Kwon JA; Dore GJ; Hajarizadeh B; Alavi M; Valerio H; Grebely J; Guy R; Gray RT, 2021, 'Australia could miss the WHO hepatitis C virus elimination targets due to declining treatment uptake and ongoing burden of advanced liver disease complications', PLoS ONE, vol. 16, pp. e0257369, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0257369
    Journal articles | 2021
    Patel PG; Keen P; McManus H; Duck T; Callander D; Selvey C; Power C; Gray RT; Knight V; Asselin J; Read P; Johnson K; Bavinton BR; Bowden VJ; Grulich AE; Guy R; Prestage G; Zablotska I; Holden J; Cooper C; Price K; Holt M; de Wit J; Kaldor J; Kelleher A; Wilson D; Brotherton A; Cooper DA; Crooks L; Whittaker B; Madeddu D; Schmidt HM; Telfer B; Boyd M; McGill S; Pinto A; Nigro S; Gordon T; Feeney L; Cunningham P; Mao L; Gray J; O’Dwyer M; Clifton B, 2021, 'Increased targeted HIV testing and reduced undiagnosed HIV infections among gay and bisexual men', HIV Medicine, vol. 22, pp. 605 - 616, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/hiv.13102
    Journal articles | 2021
    Paul KK; Macadam I; Green D; Regan DG; Gray RT, 2021, 'Dengue transmission risk in a changing climate: Bangladesh is likely to experience a longer dengue fever season in the future', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2b60
    Journal articles | 2021
    Stephens JH; Gray RT; Guy R; Vickers T; Ward J, 2021, 'A HIV diagnosis and treatment cascade for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples of Australia', AIDS Care - Psychological and Socio-Medical Aspects of AIDS/HIV, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2021.2001416
    Journal articles | 2021
    Stuart RM; Abeysuriya RG; Kerr CC; Mistry D; Klein DJ; Gray RT; Hellard M; Scott N, 2021, 'Role of masks, testing and contact tracing in preventing COVID-19 resurgences: A case study from New South Wales, Australia', BMJ Open, vol. 11, pp. e045941, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-045941
    Journal articles | 2021
    Xu X; Chow EPF; Regan D; Ong JJ; Gray RT; Zhou P; Fairley CK; Zhang L, 2021, 'Role of saliva use during masturbation in the transmission of Chlamydia trachomatis in men who have sex with men', Epidemiology and Infection, vol. 149, pp. 1 - 21, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268821001941
    Journal articles | 2020
    Boettiger DC; Salazar-Vizcaya L; Dore GJ; Gray RT; Law MG; Callander D; Lea T; Rauch A; Matthews GV, 2020, 'Can Australia Reach the World Health Organization Hepatitis C Elimination Goal by 2025 among Human Immunodeficiency Virus-positive Gay and Bisexual Men?', Clinical Infectious Diseases, vol. 70, pp. 106 - 113, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciz164
    Journal articles | 2020
    Bretaña NA; Gray RR; Cunningham EB; Betz-Stablein B; Ribeiro R; Graw F; Luciani F; Lloyd AR, 2020, 'Combined treatment and prevention strategies for hepatitis C virus elimination in the prisons in New South Wales: a modelling study', Addiction, vol. 115, pp. 901 - 913, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/add.14830
    Journal articles | 2020
    Costantino V; Trent MJ; Sullivan JS; Kunasekaran MP; Gray R; MacIntyre R, 2020, 'Serological immunity to smallpox in New South Wales, Australia', Viruses, vol. 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/v12050554
    Journal articles | 2020
    Dharan NJ; Radovich T; Che S; Petoumenos K; Juneja P; Law M; Huang R; McManus H; Polizzotto MN; Guy R; Cronin P; Cooper DA; Gray RT, 2020, 'Comorbidity Medications Are Dispensed to More People Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy for HIV Compared with the General Population in Australia', AIDS Research and Human Retroviruses, vol. 36, pp. 291 - 296, http://dx.doi.org/10.1089/aid.2019.0117
    Journal articles | 2020
    Gray RT; Callander D; Hocking JS; McGregor S; McManus H; Dyda A; Moreira C; Braat S; Hengel B; Ward J; Wilson DP; Donovan B; Kaldor JM; Guy RJ, 2020, 'Population-level diagnosis and care cascade for chlamydia in Australia', Sexually Transmitted Infections, vol. 96, pp. 131 - 136, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/sextrans-2018-053801
    Journal articles | 2020
    Marukutira T; Gray RT; Douglass C; El-Hayek C; Moreira C; Asselin J; Donovan B; Vickers T; Spelman T; Crowe S; Guy R; Stoove M; Hellard M, 2020, 'Gaps in the HIV diagnosis and care cascade for migrants in Australia, 2013-2017: A cross-sectional study', PLoS Medicine, vol. 17, pp. e1003044, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/JOURNAL.PMED.1003044
    Journal articles | 2020
    Marukutira T; Gunaratnam P; Douglass C; Jamil MS; McGregor S; Guy R; Gray RT; Spelman T; Horyniak D; Higgins N; Giele C; Crowe SM; Stoove M; Hellard M; Wang L, 2020, 'Trends in late and advanced HIV diagnoses among migrants in Australia; Implications for progress on Fast-Track targets: A retrospective observational study', Medicine (United States), vol. 99, pp. e19289, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/MD.0000000000019289
    Journal articles | 2019
    Dharan NJ; Radovich T; Che S; Petoumenos K; Juneja P; Law M; Huang R; McManus H; Polizzotto MN; Guy R; Cronin P; Cooper DA; Gray RT, 2019, 'HIV treatment regimens and adherence to national guidelines in Australia: An analysis of dispensing data from the Australian pharmaceutical benefits scheme', BMC Public Health, vol. 19, pp. 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-018-6325-5
    Journal articles | 2019
    Kwon JA; Dore GJ; Grebely J; Hajarizadeh B; Guy R; Cunningham EB; Power C; Estes C; Razavi H; Gray RT; Dunlop A; Zekry A; Lloyd A; Duvnjak A; Treloar C; Tyrrell H; George J; Iversen J; Marriott K; Crooks L; Maher L; Douglas M, 2019, 'Australia on track to achieve WHO HCV elimination targets following rapid initial DAA treatment uptake: A modelling study', Journal of Viral Hepatitis, vol. 26, pp. 83 - 92, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jvh.13013
    Journal articles | 2018
    Bretaña NA; Gray R; Law M; Guy R, 2018, 'Aging of the HIV Population in Australia: A Modeling Study', Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, vol. 79, pp. E115 - E116, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/QAI.0000000000001870
    Journal articles | 2018
    Gray RT; Watson J; Cogle AJ; Smith DE; Hoy JF; Bastian LA; Finlayson R; Drummond FM; Whittaker B; Law MG; Petoumenos K, 2018, 'Funding antiretroviral treatment for HIV-positive temporary residents in Australia prevents transmission and is inexpensive', Sexual Health, vol. 15, pp. 13 - 19, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/SH16237
    Journal articles | 2018
    Gray RT; Wilson DP; Guy RJ; Stoove M; Hellard ME; Prestage GP; Lea T; De Wit J; Holt M, 2018, 'Undiagnosed HIV infections among gay and bisexual men increasingly contribute to new infections in Australia', Journal of the International AIDS Society, vol. 21, pp. e25104 - e25104, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25104
    Journal articles | 2018
    Gunaratnam P; McManus H; Watchirs-Smith L; McGregor S; Callander D; Brown G; Lobo R; O'Connor C; Hellard M; Medland N; Lewis D; Palmer C; Law M; Gray R; Donovan B; Guy R, 2018, 'People Born in Non-Main English Speaking Countries Are Less Likely to Start HIV Treatment Early in Australia: A National Cohort Analysis, 2014-15', Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, vol. 77, pp. E31 - E34, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/QAI.0000000000001585
    Journal articles | 2018
    Huang R; Petoumenos K; Gray RT; McManus H; Dharan N; Guy R; Cooper DA, 2018, 'National characteristics and trends in antiretroviral treatment in Australia can be accurately estimated using a large clinical cohort', Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, vol. 100, pp. 82 - 91, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2018.04.015
    Journal articles | 2018
    Keen P; Gray RT; Telfer B; Guy R; Schmidt H; Whittaker B; Holden J; Holt M; Kelleher A; Wilson D; Callander D; Cooper DA; Prestage GP; Selvey C; Grulich A, 2018, 'The 2016 HIV diagnosis and care cascade in New South Wales, Australia: meeting the UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets', Journal of the International AIDS Society, vol. 21, pp. e25109 - e25109, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25109
    Journal articles | 2018
    Kelly SL; Martin-Hughes R; Stuart RM; Yap XF; Kedziora DJ; Grantham KL; Hussain SA; Reporter I; Shattock AJ; Grobicki L; Haghparast-Bidgoli H; Skordis-Worrall J; Baranczuk Z; Keiser O; Estill J; Petravic J; Gray RT; Benedikt CJ; Fraser N; Gorgens M; Wilson D; Kerr CC; Wilson DP, 2018, 'The global Optima HIV allocative efficiency model: targeting resources in efforts to end AIDS', The Lancet HIV, vol. 5, pp. e190 - e198, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2352-3018(18)30024-9
    Journal articles | 2018
    Razavi-Shearer D; Gamkrelidze I; Nguyen MH; Chen DS; Van Damme P; Abbas Z; Abdulla M; Abou Rached A; Adda D; Aho I; Akarca U; Al Ali FH; Lawati FAL; Naamani KAL; Alashgar HI; Alavian SM; Alawadhi S; Albillos A; Al-Busafi SA; Aleman S; Alfaleh FZ; Aljumah AA; Anand AC; Anh NT; Arends JE; Arkkila P; Athanasakis K; Bane A; Ben-Ari Z; Berg T; Bizri AR; Blach S; Brandão Mello CE; Brandon SM; Bright B; Bruggmann P; Brunetto M; Buti M; Chan HLY; Chaudhry A; Chien RN; Choi MS; Christensen PB; Chuang WL; Chulanov V; Clausen MR; Colombo M; Cornberg M; Cowie B; Craxi A; Croes EA; Cuellar DA; Cunningham C; Desalegn H; Drazilova S; Duberg AS; Egeonu SS; El-Sayed MH; Estes C; Falconer K; Ferraz MLG; Ferreira PR; Flisiak R; Frankova S; Gaeta GB; García-Samaniego J; Genov J; Gerstoft J; Goldis A; Gountas I; Gray R; Guimarães Pessôa M; Hajarizadeh B; Hatzakis A; Hézode C; Himatt SM; Hoepelman A; Hrstic I; Hui YTT; Husa P; Jahis R; Janjua NZ; Jarcuška P; Jaroszewicz J; Kaymakoglu S; Kershenobich D; Kondili LA; Konysbekova A; Krajden M; Kristian P; Laleman W; Lao WCC; Layden J; Lazarus JV; Lee MH; Liakina V; Lim YSS; Loo CKK; Lukšic B; Malekzadeh R, 2018, 'Global prevalence, treatment, and prevention of hepatitis B virus infection in 2016: a modelling study', The Lancet Gastroenterology and Hepatology, vol. 3, pp. 383 - 403, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2468-1253(18)30056-6
    Journal articles | 2018
    Stuart RM; Grobicki L; Haghparast-Bidgoli H; Panovska-Griffiths J; Skordis J; Keiser O; Estill J; Baranczuk Z; Kelly SL; Reporter I; Kedziora DJ; Shattock AJ; Petravic J; Hussain SA; Grantham KL; Gray RT; Yap XF; Martin-Hughes R; Benedikt CJ; Fraser-Hurt N; Masaki E; Wilson DJ; Gorgens M; Mziray E; Cheikh N; Shubber Z; Kerr CC; Wilson DP, 2018, 'How should HIV resources be allocated? Lessons learnt from applying optima HIV in 23 countries', Journal of the International AIDS Society, vol. 21, pp. e25097, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25097
    Journal articles | 2018
    Zablotska IB; Gray R; Whittaker B; Holt M; Wright E; Prestage G; O'Donnell D; Grulich AE, 2018, 'The estimated number of potential PrEP users among gay-identifying men who have sex with men in Australia', PLoS ONE, vol. 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0204138
    Journal articles | 2017
    Hajarizadeh B; Grebely J; McManus H; Estes C; Razavi H; Gray RT; Alavi M; Amin J; McGregor S; Sievert W; Thompson A; Dore GJ, 2017, 'Chronic hepatitis C burden and care cascade in Australia in the era of interferon-based treatment', Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology (Australia), vol. 32, pp. 229 - 236, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jgh.13453
    Journal articles | 2017
    Larney S; Hickman M; Guy R; Grebely J; Dore GJ; Gray RT; Day CA; Kimber J; Degenhardt L, 2017, 'Estimating the number of people who inject drugs in Australia', BMC Public Health, vol. 17, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-017-4785-7
    Journal articles | 2017
    Shattock AJ; Benedikt C; Bokazhanova A; Durić P; Petrenko I; Ganina L; Kelly SL; Stuart RM; Kerr CC; Vinichenko T; Zhang S; Hamelmann C; Manova M; Masaki E; Wilson DP; Gray RT, 2017, 'Kazakhstan can achieve ambitious HIV targets despite expected donor withdrawal by combining improved ART procurement mechanisms with allocative and implementation efficiencies', PLoS ONE, vol. 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0169530
    Journal articles | 2017
    Stuart RM; Kerr CC; Haghparast-Bidgoli H; Estill J; Grobicki L; Baranczuk Z; Prieto L; Montañez V; Reporter I; Gray RT; Skordis-Worrall J; Keiser O; Cheikh N; Boonto K; Osornprasop S; Lavadenz F; Benedikt CJ; Martin-Hughes R; Hussain SA; Kelly SL; Kedziora DJ; Wilson DP, 2017, 'Getting it right when budgets are tight: Using optimal expansion pathways to prioritize responses to concentrated and mixed HIV epidemics', PLoS ONE, vol. 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0185077
    Journal articles | 2016
    Benedikt C; Kelly SL; Wilson D; Wilson DP, 2016, 'Allocative and implementation efficiency in HIV prevention and treatment for people who inject drugs', International Journal of Drug Policy, vol. 38, pp. 73 - 80, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.drugpo.2016.10.011
    Journal articles | 2016
    Shattock AJ; Kerr CC; Stuart RM; Masaki E; Fraser N; Benedikt C; Gorgens M; Wilson DP; Gray RT, 2016, 'In the interests of time: Improving HIV allocative efficiency modelling via optimal time-varying allocations', Journal of the International AIDS Society, vol. 19, http://dx.doi.org/10.7448/IAS.19.1.20627
    Journal articles | 2015
    Boyd MA; Donovan B; Prestage G; Chen M; Petoumenos K; Gray R; Guy R; Rogers GB; Bourne C; Klausner JD, 2015, 'Is it time to rethink syphilis control?', Clinical Infectious Diseases, vol. 60, pp. 325 - 326, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciu813
    Journal articles | 2015
    Craig AP; Gray RT; Edwards JL; Apicella MA; Jennings MP; Wilson DP; Seib KL, 2015, 'The potential impact of vaccination on the prevalence of gonorrhea', Vaccine, vol. 33, pp. 4520 - 4525, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.07.015
    Journal articles | 2015
    Fraser N; Kerr CC; Harouna Z; Alhousseini Z; Cheikh N; Gray R; Shattock A; Wilson DP; Haacker M; Shubber Z; Masaki E; Karamoko D; Görgens M, 2015, 'Reorienting the HIV response in Niger toward sex work interventions: From better evidence to targeted and expanded practice', Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, vol. 68, pp. S213 - S220, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/QAI.0000000000000456
    Journal articles | 2015
    Jansson J; Kerr CC; Mallitt KA; Wu J; Gray RT; Wilson DP, 2015, 'Inferring HIV incidence from case surveillance with CD4R cell counts', AIDS, vol. 29, pp. 1517 - 1525, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/QAD.0000000000000679
    Journal articles | 2015
    Kerr CC; Stuart RM; Gray RT; Shattock AJ; Fraser-Hurt N; Benedikt C; Haacker M; Berdnikov M; Mahmood AM; Jaber SA; Gorgens M; Wilson DP, 2015, 'Optima: A Model for HIV Epidemic Analysis, Program Prioritization, and Resource Optimization', Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, vol. 69, pp. 365 - 376, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/QAI.0000000000000605
    Journal articles | 2014
    Craig AP; Thein HH; Zhang L; Gray RT; Henderson K; Wilson D; Gorgens M; Wilson DP, 2014, 'Spending of HIV resources in Asia and Eastern Europe: Systematic review reveals the need to shift funding allocations towards priority populations', Journal of the International AIDS Society, vol. 17, http://dx.doi.org/10.7448/IAS.17.1.18822
    Journal articles | 2014
    Gray R; Vallely A; Wilson D; Kaldor J; MacLaren D; Kelly-Hanku A; Siba P; Murray J; Male Circumcision Acceptability and Impact Study (MCAIS) team , 2014, 'Male Circumcision Acceptability and Impact of male circumcision on the HIV epidemic in Papua New Guinea: a country with extensive foreskin cutting practices.', PLoS One
    Journal articles | 2014
    Gray RT; Vallely A; Wilson DP; Kaldor J; MacLaren D; Kelly-Hanku A; Siba P; Murray JM, 2014, 'Impact of male circumcision on the HIV epidemic in Papua New Guinea: A country with extensive foreskin cutting practices', PLoS ONE, vol. 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0104531
    Journal articles | 2014
    Hui BB; Gray RT; Wilson DP; Ward J; Smith AMA; Philp DJ; Law MG; Hocking JS; Regan DG, 2014, 'Erratum to: Population movement can sustain STI prevalence in remote Australian indigenous communities', BMC Infectious Diseases, vol. 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-14-86
    Journal articles | 2014
    Keebler D; Revill P; Braithwaite S; Phillips A; Blaser N; Borquez A; Cambiano V; Ciaranello A; Estill J; Gray R; Hill A; Keiser O; Kessler J; Menzies NA; Nucifora KA; Vizcaya LS; Walker S; Welte A; Easterbrook P; Doherty M; Hirnschall G; Hallett TB, 2014, 'Cost-effectiveness of different strategies to monitor adults on antiretroviral treatment: A combined analysis of three mathematical models', The Lancet Global Health, vol. 2, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(13)70048-2
    Journal articles | 2014
    Schneider K; Gray RT; Wilson DP, 2014, 'A cost-effectiveness analysis of HIV preexposure prophylaxis for men who have sex with men in Australia', Clinical Infectious Diseases, vol. 58, pp. 1027 - 1034, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cid/cit946
    Journal articles | 2014
    Schneider K; Gray RT; Wilson DP, 2014, 'Reply to Paltiel et al', Clinical Infectious Diseases, vol. 59, pp. 141, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciu241
    Journal articles | 2013
    Craig AP; Gray R; Jansson J; Wilson DP, 2013, 'HIV antiretroviral prophylaxis for injecting drug users [4]', The Lancet, vol. 382, pp. 854 - 855, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(13)61856-5
    Journal articles | 2013
    Gray R; Prestage G; Down I; Ghaus MH; Hoare A; Bradley JE; Wilson DP, 2013, 'Increased HIV Testing Will Modestly Reduce HIV Incidence among Gay Men in NSW and Would Be Acceptable if HIV Testing Becomes Convenient', PLoS ONE, vol. 8, pp. e55449, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0055449
    Journal articles | 2013
    Gray R; Robinson PA, 2013, 'Stability constraints on large-scale structural brain networks', Frontiers in Computational Neuroscience, vol. 7, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fncom.2013.00031
    Journal articles | 2013
    Hui BB; Gray RT; Wilson DP; Ward JS; Smith AMA; Philip DJ; Law MG; Hocking JS; Regan DG, 2013, 'Population movement can sustain STI prevalence in remote Australian indigenous communities', BMC Infectious Diseases, vol. 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-13-188
    Journal articles | 2013
    Kelly-Hanku A; Vallely A; Man WYN; Wilson D; Law G; Gray R, 2013, 'A systematic review of heterosexual anal intercourse and its role in the transmission of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections in Papua New Guinea', BMC Public Health, vol. 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-13-1108
    Journal articles | 2012
    Down I; Wilson DP; McCann PD; Gray RT; Hoare A; Bradley JR; Donovan BJ; Prestage GP, 2012, 'Increasing gay men's testing rates and enhancing partner notification can reduce the incidence of syphilis', Sexual Health, vol. 9, pp. 472 - 480, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/SH12023
    Journal articles | 2012
    Hoare A; Gray R; Wilson DP, 2012, 'Could implementation of Australia's National Gay Men's Syphilis Action Plan have an indirect effect on the HIV epidemic?', Sexual Health, vol. 9, pp. 144 - 151, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/SH10145
    Journal articles | 2012
    Zhang L; Gray R; Wilson DP, 2012, 'Modelling the Epidemiological Impact of Scaling-up HIV Testing and Antiretroviral Treatment in China', Sexual Health, vol. 9, pp. 261 - 271, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/SH11104
    Journal articles | 2011
    Gray R; Hoare A; McCann P; Bradley J; Down I; Donovan B; Prestage G; Wilson DP, 2011, 'Will changes in gay men's sexual behavior reduce syphilis rates?', Sexually Transmitted Diseases, vol. 38, pp. 1151 - 1158, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/OLQ.0b013e318238b85d
    Journal articles | 2011
    Gray RT; Ghaus MH; Hoare A; Wilson DP, 2011, 'Expected epidemiological impact of the introduction of a partially effective HIV vaccine among men who have sex with men in Australia', Vaccine, vol. 29, pp. 6125 - 6129, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2011.06.061
    Journal articles | 2011
    Gray RT; Zhang L; Lupiwa T; Wilson DP, 2011, 'Forecasting the population-level impact of reductions in HIV antiretroviral therapy in Papua New Guinea', AIDS Research and Treatment, vol. 2011, pp. 891593, http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/891593
    Journal articles | 2011
    McCann PD; Gray RT; Hoare A; Bradley J; Down I; Donovan B; Wilson DP; Prestage G, 2011, 'Would gay men change their sexual behaviour to reduce syphilis rates?', Sexually Transmitted Diseases, vol. 38, pp. 1145 - 1150, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/OLQ.0b013e318238b846
    Journal articles | 2011
    Prestage G; Gray R; Down I; Hoare A; McCann PD; Wilson D, 2011, 'The development of Australia's National Syphilis Action Plan is based in interdisciplinary research findings', International Journal of Interdisciplinary Social Sciences, vol. 5, pp. 239 - 261
    Journal articles | 2011
    Vallely A; MacLaren DJ; Kaleva W; Millan J; Tommbe R; Marape W; Manineng C; Buchanan H; Amos A; Frank R; Kelly A; Kupul M; Aeno H; Trowalle E; John LN; Redman-Maclaren ML; Ryan C; Browne K; Tynan A; Hill PS; Gray RT; Murray J; Wilson DP; Law G; Siba P; McBride WJ; Farley T; Kaldor JM; National Policy Forum, Papua New Guinea , 2011, 'Male circumcision for HIV prevention in Papua New Guinea: a summary of research evidence and recommendations for public health following a national policy forum.', Papua and New Guinea medical journal, vol. 54, pp. 91 - 108, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24494506
    Journal articles | 2011
    Wilson DP; Prestage G; Gray R; Hoare A; McCann P; Down I; Guy R; Drummond F; Klausner JD; Donovan B; Kaldor JM, 2011, 'Chemoprophylaxis is likely to be acceptable and could mitigate syphilis epidemics among populations of gay men', Sexually Transmitted Diseases, vol. 38, pp. 573 - 579, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/OLQ.0b013e31820e64fd
    Journal articles | 2010
    Gray R; Hoare A; Prestage G; Donovan BJ; Kaldor JM; Wilson DP, 2010, 'Frequent testing of highly sexually active gay men is required to control syphilis', Sexually Transmitted Diseases, vol. 37, pp. 298 - 305, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/OLQ.0b013e3181ca3c0a
    Journal articles | 2010
    Gray R; Wilson D, 2010, 'Acyclovir and transmission of HIV-1 from persons infected with HIV-1 and HSV-2', New England Journal of Medicine, vol. 362, pp. 1740 - 1742, http://dx.doi.org/10.1056/NEJMc1002408
    Journal articles | 2009
    Gray R; Fung CL; Robinson PA, 2009, 'Stability of small-world networks of neural populations.', Neurocomputing, vol. 72, pp. 1565 - 1574, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2008.09.006
    Journal articles | 2009
    Gray R; Robinson PA, 2009, 'Stability and structural constraints of random brain networks with excitatory and inhibitory neural populations', Journal of Computational Neuroscience, vol. 27, pp. 81 - 101, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10827-008-0128-0
    Journal articles | 2009
    Gray RT; Beagley KW; Timms P; Wilson DP, 2009, 'Modeling the impact of potential vaccines on epidemics of sexually transmitted Chlamydia trachomatis infection', Journal of Infectious Diseases, vol. 199, pp. 1680 - 1688, http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/598983
    Journal articles | 2009
    Gray RT; Heymer K; Hoare A; Kwon JA; Thein H; Lote N; Siba P; Saramony S; Saphonn V; Worth H; Kaldor JM; Wilson DP, 2009, 'What impact might the economic crisis have on HIV epidemics in Southeast Asia?', Current HIV Research, vol. 7, pp. 656 - 665, http://dx.doi.org/10.2174/157016209789973637
    Journal articles | 2009
    Gray RT; Robinson PA, 2009, 'Stability of random brain networks with excitatory and inhibitory connections', Neurocomputing, vol. 72, pp. 1849 - 1858, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2008.06.001
    Journal articles | 2009
    Robinson PA; Henderson J; Matar E; Riley P; Gray RT, 2009, 'Dynamical reconnection and stability constraints on cortical network architecture', Physical Review Letters, vol. 103, pp. 108104, http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.103.108104
    Journal articles | 2009
    Van albada S; Gray R; Drysdale P; Robinson P, 2009, 'Mean-field modeling of the basal gangli-thalamocortical system. II: Dynamics of parkinsonian oscillations', Journal of Theoretical Biology, vol. 257, pp. 664 - 688, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2008.12.013
    Journal articles | 2008
    Gray RT; Beagley K; Timms P; Donovan B; Wilson DP, 2008, 'THE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF A VACCINE ON CHLAMYDIA EPIDEMIOLOGY AND MORBIDITY', SEXUAL HEALTH, vol. 5, pp. 381 - 381, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000260999000019&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Journal articles | 2008
    Gray RT; Robinson PA, 2008, 'Stability and synchronization of random brain networks with a distribution of connection strengths', Neurocomputing, vol. 71, pp. 1373 - 1387, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2007.06.002
    Journal articles | 2008
    Robinson PA; Gray RT; Fung CKC, 2008, 'Stability constraints on structural and functional neuronal network connectivity', Proceedings of SPIE - The International Society for Optical Engineering, vol. 6802, http://dx.doi.org/10.1117/12.778619
    Journal articles | 2007
    Gray RT; Robinson PA, 2007, 'Stability and spectra of randomly connected excitatory cortical networks', Neurocomputing, vol. 70, pp. 1000 - 1012, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2006.03.014
  • Preprints | 2022
    Gray RT; Camara H; Khawar L; Grulich A; Guy R; McGregor S; Medland N, 2022, National trends in rates of undiagnosed HIV in key populations in Australia: a retrospective observational analysis from 2008 to 2019, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2022.09.23.22280259
    Reports | 2022
    King J; McManus H; Gray R; McGregor S, 2022, HIV, viral hepatitis and sexually transmissible infections in Australia Annual surveillance report 2021, The Kirby Insitute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.26190/r0fj-4953, https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/report/asr2021
    Reports | 2022
    King J; McManus H; Kwon A; Gray R; McGregor S, 2022, HIV, viral hepatitis and sexually transmissible infections in Australia: Annual surveillance report 2022, The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.26190/sx44-5366, https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/report/asr2022
    Preprints | 2022
    King J; Petoumenos K; Dobbins T; Guy RJ; Gray RT; Nigro SJ; Si D; Minas B; McGregor S, 2022, A population level application of a novel method for estimating the timing of HIV acquisition among migrants to Australia (Preprint), http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/preprints.40543
    Preprints | 2021
    Caldwell JM; Lara-Tuprio ED; Teng TR; Estuar MRJE; Sarmiento RFR; Abayawardana M; Leong RNF; Gray RT; Wood JG; McBryde ES; Ragonnet R; Trauer JM, 2021, Understanding COVID-19 dynamics and the effects of interventions in the Philippines: A mathematical modelling study, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.14.21249848
    Preprints | 2021
    Hui BB; Ward JS; Guy R; Law MG; Gray RT; Regan DG, 2021, Evaluating strategies to combat a major syphilis outbreak in Australia among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples in remote and regional Australia through mathematical modelling, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.07.21253089
    Other | 2021
    Kwon JA; Bretaña NA; Grant L; Galouzis J; Hoey W; Blogg J; Lloyd AR; Gray RT, 2021, The COVID-19 Incarceration Model: a tool for corrections staff to analyze outbreaks of COVID-19, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.18.21252032
    Conference Abstracts | 2021
    Lim MHA; Devine A; Gray RT; Kwon JA; Hutchinson JL; Ong JJ, 2021, 'LIFETIME COST OF HIV MANAGEMENT IN AUSTRALIA: A MODELLING STUDY', in SEXUAL HEALTH, CSIRO PUBLISHING, Vol. 18, pp. VIII - VIII, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000693686000018&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Other | 2021
    Paul KK; Macadam I; Green D; Regan DG; Gray RT, 2021, Dengue transmission risk in a changing climate: Bangladesh could experience a longer dengue fever season in the future, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.24.443300
    Conference Papers | 2021
    Paul KK; Macadam I; Green DL; Regan DG; Gray RT, 2021, 'DENGUE TRANSMISSION RISK IN A CHANGING CLIMATE: BANGLADESH COULD EXPERIENCE A LONGER DENGUE FEVER SEASON IN THE FUTURE', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, pp. 28 - 28, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000778105601085&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Conference Presentations | 2020
    Denton C; Stoove M; McManus H; Carr A; Gray R; Hoy J; Donovan B; Hellard M; Grulich AE; Fairley CK; Holt M; Templeton DJ; Liaw T; McMahon J; Guy RJ, 2020, 'DECREASING COMMUNITY VIREMIA IS ASSOCIATED WITH DECREASING HIV INCIDENCE IN AUSTRALIA', presented at Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections, Boston, 08 March 2020, https://www.croiconference.org/abstract/decreasing-community-viremia-is-associated-with-decreasing-hiv-incidence-in-australia/
    Conference Abstracts | 2020
    Keen P; Patel P; McManus H; Duck T; Callander D; Selvey C; Power C; Gray RT; Vickie K; Asselin J; Read P; Johnson K; Bavinton BR; Grulich AE; Guy R, 2020, 'Increased targeted HIV testing and reduced undiagnosed HIV infections among gay and bisexual men in New South Wales, Australia 2010 to 2018', in JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL AIDS SOCIETY, JOHN WILEY & SONS LTD, Vol. 23, pp. 36 - 36, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000551988900063&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Conference Abstracts | 2020
    Kwon JA; Dore G; Hajarizadeh B; Guy R; Gray RT, 2020, 'Evidence of declining HCV transmission in Australia following scale-up of direct acting antiviral therapy', in JOURNAL OF HEPATOLOGY, ELSEVIER, Vol. 73, pp. S606 - S606, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0168-8278(20)31680-9
    Conference Abstracts | 2020
    Patel P; Keen P; McManus H; Duck T; Callander D; Selvey C; Power C; Gray R; Vickie K; Asselin J; Read P; Bavinton B; Grulich A; Guy R, 2020, 'Increased targeted HIV testing and reduced undiagnosed HIV infections among gay and bisexual men in New South Wales, Australia 2010 to 2018', in Increased targeted HIV testing and reduced undiagnosed HIV infections among gay and bisexual men in New South Wales, Australia 2010 to 2018, presented at World AIDS Conference 2020
    Preprints | 2020
    Stuart RM; Abeysuriya RG; Kerr CC; Mistry D; Klein DJ; Gray R; Hellard M; Scott N, 2020, The role of masks in reducing the risk of new waves of COVID-19 in low transmission settings: a modeling study, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.02.20186742
    Preprints | 2020
    Stuart RM; Abeysuriya RG; Kerr CC; Mistry D; Klein DJ; Gray R; Hellard M; Scott N, 2020, The role of masks, testing and contact tracing in preventing COVID-19 resurgences: a case study from New South Wales, Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.09.20209429
    Reports | 2019
    Alavi M; Valerio H; Selvey C; Dore G, 2019, Hepatitis C Elimination in NSW: Monitoring Evaluation Report 2019, https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/report/hepatitis-c-elimination-nsw-monitoring-and-evaluation-report-2019
    Reports | 2019
    Hui B; Regan D; Gray R, 2019, Modelling of the infectious syphilis outbreak in Indigenous Australians: guidance for Multi-Jurisdictional Syphilis Outbreak Working Group
    Reports | 2018
    Gray R; Benedikt C, 2018, Applying Decision Science to Inform HIV Resource Allocation in Belarus: Case study on how mathematical modelling techniques were used to change HIV budgets, The World Bank
    Reports | 2018
    King J; McGregor S; McManus H; Gray R; Guy R, 2018, HIV in Australia Annual surveillance short report 2018, Sydney: Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney
    Reports | 2018
    King J; McGregor S; McManus H; Gray R; Guy R, 2018, HIV, viral hepatitis and sexually transmissible infections in Australia annual surveillance report 2018, Sydney: Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, http://dx.doi.org/10.26190/nvtv-8t93
    Conference Posters | 2018
    Kwon A; Dore GJ; Grebely J; Hajarizadeh B; Guy R; Cunningham E; Estes C; Razavi H; Gray RT, 2018, 'Australia on track to achieve WHO elimination targets following rapid initial DAA treatment uptake', presented at International Liver Congress (European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL 2018)), 11 April 2018 - 15 April 2018
    Conference Presentations | 2018
    Kwon A; Dore GJ; Grebely J; Hajarizadeh B; Guy R; Cunningham EB; Estes C; Homie R; Gray RT, 2018, 'Ongoing Burden of Advanced Liver Disease Complications Despite Rapid HCV Treatment Scale-Up', presented at Australasian Viral Hepatitis Conference, 13 August 2018 - 15 August 2018
    Preprints | 2018
    van Albada SJ; Gray RT; Drysdale PM; Robinson PA, 2018, Mean-field modeling of the basal ganglia-thalamocortical system. II. Dynamics of parkinsonian oscillations, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1801.01821
    Reports | 2017
    Jamil M; Gunaratnam P; McManus H; Gray R; Guy R, 2017, HIV, viral hepatitis and sexually transmissible infections in Australia Annual Surveillance Report 2017, Sydney: Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney
    Reports | 2017
    Jamil M; Gunaratnam P; McManus H; Gray R; Guy R, 2017, HIV, viral hepatitis and sexually transmissible infections in Australia: Annual Surveillance Report 2017, Sydney: Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney
    Conference Presentations | 2017
    Kwon A; Dore GJ; Grebely J; Hajarizadeh B; Guy R; Cunningham EB; Estes C; Razavi H; Gray RT, 2017, 'Australia Could Meet the WHO HCV Elimination Targets If the Current Rollout of DAA Treatment Is Continued', presented at Australasian Viral Hepatitis Conference (AVHC), 10 August 2017 - 11 August 2017
    Conference Abstracts | 2017
    Kwon AJ; Dore GJ; Grebely J; Hajarizadeh B; Guy R; Cunningham EB; Estes C; Razavi H; Gray RT, 2017, 'O12 Australia could meet the WHO HCV elimination targets if the current rollout of DAA treatment is continued', in Journal of Virus Eradication, Elsevier BV, Vol. 3, pp. 5 - 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s2055-6640(20)30895-5
    Reports | 2017
    Kwon J; Gray R; Dore G; Grebely J; Guy R; Hajarizadeh B; Cunningham E, 2017, 2017 Estimates and Projections of the Hepatitis C Virus Epidemic in NSW: Summary Report, Sydney: Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney
    Reports | 2016
    Atroshchanka O; Fisenka A; Ilyenkova V; Đurić P; Gray RT; Benedikt C; Masak E; Obst M, 2016, Optimizing investments in Belarus for the National HIV Response, The World Bank, Washington DC: World Bank., http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25395, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/25395
    Reports | 2016
    McGregor S; McManus H; Gray RT, 2016, 2016 Annual Surveillance Report of HIV, viral hepatitis, STIs, The Kirby Institute, UNSW Australia, Sydney, Australia, http://kirby.unsw.edu.au/sites/default/files/hiv/resources/SERP_2016-Annual-Surveillance-Report_UPD170116.pdf
    Reports | 2015
    Alexeenco T; Caraulan L; Costin T; Plesca V; Gantea L; Gheorghita S; Pirtina L; Popovici S; Plamadeala S; Gray R; Benedikt C; Goroshko A; Masaki E; Obst M, 2015, Optimizing Investments in Moldova’s HIV Response, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/25396
    Reports | 2015
    Masaki E; Fraser N; Haacker M; Obst M; Wootton R; Sunkutu R; Görgens M; Gray RT; Shattock C; Kerr C; Wilson D, 2015, Zambia’s HIV Response: Prioritized and strategic allocation of HIV resources for impact and sustainability. Findings from the HIV allocative efficiency study., World Bank, Washington, DC, http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22080
    Reports | 2015
    McGregor S; McManus H; Gray R; Costello J, 2015, HIV, viral hepatitis and sexually transmissible infections in Australia Annual Surveillance Report 2015, http://kirby.unsw.edu.au/sites/default/files/hiv/resources/ASR2015_v5.pdf
    Conference Papers | 2015
    Seib KL; Craig AP; Gray RT; Edwards JL; Apicella MA; Jennings MP; Wilson DP, 2015, 'THE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF VACCINATION ON THE PREVALENCE OF GONORRHOEA', in SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED INFECTIONS, BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP, pp. A151 - A151, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/sextrans-2015-052270.394
    Reports | 2015
    Shattock A; Gray R; Donald B; Stuart R; Leif E; Zhang L; Wilson D, 2015, Investing for results: How Asia Pacific countries can invest for ending AIDS., http://optimamodel.com/pubs/Investing_for_Results_2015.pdf
    Reports | 2014
    Fraser N; Benedikt C; Obst M; Masaki E; Görgens M; Stuart R; Shattock A; Gray RT; Wilson D, 2014, Sudan’s HIV response: Value for money in a low-level HIV epidemic - Findings from the HIV a llocat ive efficiency s tudy, World Bank, Washington, DC, http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21104
    Reports | 2014
    Fraser N; Cheikh N; Haacker M; Masaki E; Karamoko D; Gorgens M; Frescura L; Konan C; Kerr CC; Gray RT; Shattock A; Wilson DP; Frescura L; Konan C; Alhousseini Z; Harouna Z, 2014, Niger's HIV Response: Targeted Investments for a Healthy Future, The World Bank, Washington DC, http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20600
    Reports | 2014
    Wilson D; Shattock A; Gray R, 2014, HIV resource needs, availabilities and gaps across ASEAN countries (Presented to the ASEAN Health Ministers Meeting), Hanoi, Vietnam, http://optimamodel.com/pubs/ASEAN,%205%20Sept%202014.pdf
    Reports | 2014
    Wilson D; Stuart R; Shattock A; Gray R; Kelly S, 2014, Optimizing allocation of resources for HIV/AIDS responses: presented to the United Nations General Assembly, https://www.unaids.org/sites/default/files/media_asset/JC2686_WAD2014report_en.pdf
    Conference Papers | 2013
    Hui BB; Gray RT; Wilson DP; Ward JS; Smith AMA; Philp DJ; Law MG; Hocking JS; Regan DG, 2013, 'The role of short term population movement in sustaining STI prevalence in remote Australian Indigenous communities', in Piantadosi J; Anderssen RS; Boland J (eds.), Proceedings - 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, MODSIM 2013, MODELLING & SIMULATION SOC AUSTRALIA & NEW ZEALAND INC, Adelaide, AUSTRALIA, pp. 2034 - 2040, presented at 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM), Adelaide, AUSTRALIA, 01 December 2013 - 06 December 2013, http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000357105902011&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a
    Reports | 2013
    Wilson D; Gray R; Braedon D; Shattock A; Zhang L; Jansson J; Henderson K; Chow E; Taipia M, 2013, AIDS Funding Landscape in Asia and the Pacific, 2013-2023: Towards ending AIDS in Asia and the Pacific through investments, innovation, country-ownership and shared responsibility, The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney Australia
    Reports | 2013
    Wilson DP; Reyes J; Kerr CC; Gray RT, 2013, Return on investment of needle-syringe programs in the Philippines., The Kirby Institute, UNSW, Sydney Australia, http://optimamodel.com/pubs/philippines-report.pdf
    Reports | 2012
    Gray RT; Reyes J; Nadjib M; Harimurti P; Wilson DP, 2012, Assessment of the allocation of HIV funding in Indonesia. (Prepared for the Global HIV/AIDS Program of the World Bank), The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales and School of Public Health, University of Indonesia
    Reports | 2012
    Wilson DP; Gray RT; Hoare A, 2012, Getting to Zero: HIV prevention resource needs and optimal allocations in Armenia. (Prepared for The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria.), The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales
    Reports | 2012
    Wilson DP; Gray RT; Razali K; Hoare A; Cheah J; Kerr C; Jamaludin A, 2012, Determine cost-effective and efficient allocation of HIV resources for the Republic of Armenia. (Prepared for the Global HIV/AIDS Program of the World Bank.), The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, and HART Consultancy, Kuala Lumpur, Sydney / Malaysia
    Reports | 2011
    Gray RT; Murray J; Wilson DP; Vallely A; Kaldor J, 2011, The Papua New Guinea HIV Model: Explaining the past, describing the present, and forecasting the future of the HIV Epidemic in PNG Volume 1-3, The Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
    Reports | 2011
    Reyes J; Gray RT; Wilson DP, 2011, HIV in Indonesia: Data Triangulation Report. MSM, waria, FSW, male clients of FSW, and IDU. (Prepared for the Global HIV/AIDS Program of the World Bank.), The Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney
    Reports | 2011
    Wilson DP; Prestage G; Gray RT; Ghaus H; Hoare A; Down I; Bradley J, 2011, NSW HIV Modelling & Acceptability Project: Effectiveness and acceptability of HIV interventions in NSW., National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, The University of New South Wales, Sydney Australia
    Reports | 2011
    Wilson DP; Zhang L; Loo V; Thein HH; Gray RT; Kwon AJ, 2011, Evaluation of the epidemiological impact of harm reduction programs on HIV in Vietnam, The National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, UNSW, Sydney Australia
    Reports | 2009
    Wilson DP; Gray R; Heymer K; Hoare A; Kwon A; Thein H; Worth H; Kaldor JM; Heymer K, 2009, Evaluation of the potential impact of the global economic crisis on HIV epidemics in Southeast Asia (prepared for AusAID), National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
    Reports | 2009
    Wilson DP; Prestage G; Donovan B; Gray RT; Hoare A; McCann P; Down I, 2009, Final Technical Report – Phase A of the National Gay Men’s Syphilis Action Plan: Modelling evidence and research on acceptability of interventions for controlling syphilis in Australia., National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, UNSW, Sydney, https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/sites/default/files/hiv/attachment/SyphilisPhaseAReport.pdf
    Conference Papers | 2008
    Gray R; Beagley KW; Timms P; Donovan BJ; Wilson DP, 2008, 'The potential impact of a vaccine on chlamydia epidemiology and morbidity', in Sexual Health, CSIRO Publishing, Australia, pp. 1 - 1, presented at Sexual Health, Perth, 17 September 2008 - 20 September 2008
    Conference Papers | 2008
    Gray R; Wilson DP, 2008, 'Predicting the effectiveness and key characteristics of Chlamydia vaccines using a sexual network and transmission model', in Proceedings of the Sixth Meeting of the European Society for Chlamydia Research, European Society for Chlamydia Research, Aarhus, Denmark, presented at 6th Meeting of the European Society for Chlamydia Research, Aarhus, Denmark, -
    Preprints |
    Caldwell J; de Lara-Tuprio E; Teng TR; Estuar RJ; Sarmiento RFR; Abayawardana M; Leong RNF; Gray RT; Wood J; McBryde ES; Ragonnet R; Trauer JM, Understanding COVID-19 Dynamics and the Effects of Interventions in the Philippines: A Mathematical Modelling Study, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3754804
    Preprints |
    Kwon J; Dore GJ; Grebely J; Hajarizadeh B; Guy R; Cunningham EB; Power C; Estes C; Razavi H; Gray RT, Australia on Track to Achieve Who HCV Elimination Targets Following Rapid Initial DAA Treatment Uptake: A Modelling Study, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3213670
    Preprints |
    Lim M; Devine A; Gray RT; Kwon J; Hutchinson J; Ong J, Lifetime Cost of HIV Management in Australia: An Economic Model, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3868096

  • Impact of public health interventions on HIV epidemics
  • Development of diagnoses and care cascades for HIV, viral hepatitis, and other sexually transmitted infections
  • Evaluation of the potential impact and cost-effectiveness of HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) on Australia's HIV epidemic
  • Estimates for the burden of Hepatitis C in Australia and the level of DAA treatment required for Australia to reach the WHO viral hepatitis elimination targets
  • Evaluation of the impact of DAA treatment on Hepatitis C incidence and prevalence in Australia
  • Mitigation of syphilis outbreaks in remote Indigenous populations
  • Using mathematical modelling to predict the impact of climate change on the epidemiology of infectious diseases, particularly tropical diseases
  • Strategies for prevention of COVID-19 outbreaks in prisons and other closed population settings
  • Understanding the trajectory of COVID-19 in countries within the Western Pacific region