Dr David Muscatello

Dr David Muscatello

Associate Professor

PhD (2014), MPH (2000), NSW Public Health Training Program (2000), BSc (1981)

Medicine & Health
School of Population Health

David Muscatello is an Associate Professor in infectious diseases epidemiology. He has a PhD in the epidemiology of pandemic and seasonal influenza. He also has many years' experience in government as an epidemiologist specialising in acute disease surveillance using administrative databases, public health intelligence and biostatistics including time series analysis. He served in the New South Wales government response to both the COVID-19 and 2009 influenza pandemics and has served on the Australian National Influenza Surveillance Committee. David is also a graduate of the New South Wales Public Health Officer Training Program and has supervised and trained numerous Public Health Officer and Biostatistical trainees. He is particularly interested in the use of time series analysis for estimating mortality and morbidity from infectious and other diseases and for assessing the impact of health policies on populations. He contributes to the World Health Organization's (WHO) activities for estimating the global burden of deaths and hospitalisations attributable to influenza.

Phone
+61 2 9065 1498
Location
Samuels Building, go to reception, Level 3. Kensington Campus, map reference F25.
  • Journal articles | 2024
    Binte Hossain F; Muscatello D; Jayasinghe S; Jonnagaddala J; Liu B, 2024, 'Uptake of pneumococcal vaccines in older Australian adults before and after universal public funding of PCV13', Vaccine, 42, pp. 3084 - 3090, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.04.012
    Journal articles | 2024
    Mahmud M; Muscatello DJ; Rahman MB; Osborne NJ, 2024, 'Association between socioeconomic deprivation and bone health status in the UK biobank cohort participants', Osteoporosis International, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00198-024-07115-3
    Journal articles | 2024
    Newall AT; Nazareno AL; Muscatello DJ; Boettiger D; Viboud C; Simonsen L; Turner RM, 2024, 'The association between influenza vaccination uptake and influenza and pneumonia-associated deaths in the United States', Vaccine, 42, pp. 2044 - 2050, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.01.089
    Journal articles | 2023
    Craig AT; Leong RNF; Donoghoe MW; Muscatello D; Mojica VJC; Octavo CJM, 2023, 'Comparison of statistical methods for the early detection of disease outbreaks in small population settings', IJID Regions, 8, pp. 157 - 163, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijregi.2023.08.007
    Journal articles | 2023
    Gianacas C; Liu B; Kirk M; Di Tanna GL; Belcher J; Blogg S; Muscatello DJ, 2023, 'Bayesian structural time series, an alternative to interrupted time series in the right circumstances', Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 163, pp. 102 - 110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2023.10.003
    Journal articles | 2022
    Gianacas C; Muscatello D; Blogg S; Kirk M; McIntyre P; Cheng A; Liu B, 2022, 'Effectiveness of Influenza Vaccination in Reducing Subsequent Antibiotic Prescribing in Young Children Attending Australian General Practices - A Case-Control Study', Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society, 11, pp. 283 - 290, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/jpids/piac021
    Journal articles | 2022
    He WQ; Gianacas C; Muscatello DJ; Newall AT; McIntyre P; Cheng AC; Liu B, 2022, 'Effectiveness of influenza vaccination in reducing influenza-like illness and related antibiotic prescriptions in adults from a primary care-based case-control study', Journal of Infection, 85, pp. 660 - 665, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2022.10.028
    Journal articles | 2022
    Nazareno AL; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; Wood JG; Moore HC; Newall AT, 2022, 'Modelled estimates of hospitalisations attributable to respiratory syncytial virus and influenza in Australia, 2009–2017', Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses, 16, pp. 1082 - 1090, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.13003
    Journal articles | 2022
    Saravanos GL; Hu N; Homaira N; Muscatello DJ; Jaffe A; Bartlett AW; Wood NJ; Rawlinson W; Kesson A; Lingam R; Britton PN, 2022, 'RSV Epidemiology in Australia Before and During COVID-19', Pediatrics, 149, http://dx.doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053537
    Journal articles | 2022
    Thompson R; Wood JG; Tempia S; Muscatello DJ, 2022, 'Global variation in early epidemic growth rates and reproduction number of seasonal influenza', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 122, pp. 382 - 388, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2022.06.022
    Journal articles | 2022
    Waudby CM; Sherwood SC; Osborne NJ; Beggs PJ; Al-Kouba J; Ebert EE; Muscatello DJ, 2022, 'Combined synoptic and regional weather patterns affecting atmospheric Poaceae pollen concentrations in Sydney, Australia', Aerobiologia, 38, pp. 533 - 555, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10453-022-09764-5
    Journal articles | 2021
    Muscatello DJ; Nazareno AL; Turner RM; Newall AT, 2021, 'Influenza-associated mortality in Australia, 2010 through 2019: High modelled estimates in 2017', Vaccine, 39, pp. 7578 - 7583, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.11.019
    Journal articles | 2021
    Zhang Y; Muscatello D; Tian Y; Chen Y; Li S; Duan W; Ma C; Sun Y; Wu S; Ge L; Yang P; Jia L; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2021, 'Role of presymptomatic transmission of COVID-19: Evidence from Beijing, China', Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 75, pp. 84 - 87, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/jech-2020-214635
    Journal articles | 2020
    Kunwar R; Lamichhane P; Vajdic C; Muscatello DJ, 2020, 'Effect of overseas parental employment migration on healthcare seeking for common childhood illnesses and nutritional status among left-behind young children: A systematic review', Journal of Child Health Care, 24, pp. 351 - 364, http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1367493518787326
    Journal articles | 2020
    Kunwar R; Vajdic CM; Muscatello DJ, 2020, 'Parental international migration is not associated with improved health care seeking for common childhood illnesses and nutritional status of young children left-behind in Nepal', Public Health, 186, pp. 137 - 143, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.puhe.2020.06.049
    Journal articles | 2020
    Manurung MK; Reo SE; Pardosi JF; Muscatello DJ, 2020, 'Evaluation of the Indonesian Early Warning Alert and Response System (EWARS) in West Papua, Indonesia', WHO South-East Asia journal of public health, 9, pp. 111 - 117, http://dx.doi.org/10.4103/2224-3151.294304
    Journal articles | 2020
    Moa A; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre R, 2020, 'Estimated hospitalisations attributable to seasonal and pandemic influenza in Australia: 2001- 2013.', PLoS One, 15, pp. e0230705. - e0230705., http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0230705
    Journal articles | 2020
    Morgan DP; Muscatello D; Travaglia J; Hayen A, 2020, 'Retrospective observational cohort study of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest outcomes in Tasmania 2010–2014', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, 32, pp. 631 - 637, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.13490
    Journal articles | 2020
    Muscatello DJ; McIntyre PB, 2020, 'Comparing mortalities of the first wave of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and of the 1918-19 winter pandemic influenza wave in the USA', International Journal of Epidemiology, 49, pp. 2089 - 2091, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyaa186
    Journal articles | 2020
    Newall AT; Leong RNF; Nazareno A; Muscatello DJ; Wood JG; Kim WJ, 2020, 'Delay-adjusted age- and sex-specific case fatality rates for COVID-19 in South Korea: Evolution in the estimated risk of mortality throughout the epidemic', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 101, pp. 306 - 311, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.09.1478
    Journal articles | 2020
    Soh ACY; Sharma A; Muscatello DJ, 2020, 'Impact of seasonal influenza on polyclinic attendances for upper respiratory tract infections in Singapore', Western Pacific Surveillance and Response Journal, 11, pp. 27 - 36, http://dx.doi.org/10.5365/wpsar.2019.10.4.001
    Journal articles | 2020
    Trevisan G; Linhares LCM; Crim B; Dubey P; Schwartz KJ; Burrough ER; Wang C; Main RG; Sundberg P; Thurn M; Lages PTF; Corzo CA; Torrison J; Henningson J; Herrman E; Hanzlicek GA; Raghavan R; Marthaler D; Greseth J; Clement T; Christopher-Hennings J; Muscatello D; Linhares DCL, 2020, 'Prediction of seasonal patterns of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus RNA detection in the U.S. swine industry', Journal of Veterinary Diagnostic Investigation, 32, pp. 394 - 400, http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1040638720912406
    Journal articles | 2020
    Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Cao Z; Chughtai AA; Costantino V; Zhang D; Yang P; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2020, 'A model of influenza infection and vaccination in children aged under 5 years in Beijing, China', Human Vaccines and Immunotherapeutics, 16, pp. 1685 - 1690, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2019.1705692
    Journal articles | 2019
    Hauser MI; Muscatello DJ; Soh ACY; Dwyer DE; Turner RM, 2019, 'An indirect comparison meta-analysis of AS03 and MF59 adjuvants in pandemic influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 vaccines', Vaccine, 37, pp. 4246 - 4255, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.039
    Journal articles | 2019
    Moa A; Muscatello D; Chughtai A; Chen X; Raina MacIntyre C, 2019, 'Flucast: A real-time tool to predict severity of an influenza season', Journal of Medical Internet Research, 21, pp. e11780, http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/11780
    Journal articles | 2019
    Morgan DP; Muscatello D; Hayen A; Travaglia J, 2019, 'Human factors influencing out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, 31, pp. 600 - 604, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.13222
    Journal articles | 2019
    Muscatello DJ; Leong RNF; Turner RM; Newall AT, 2019, 'Rapid mapping of the spatial and temporal intensity of influenza', European Journal of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, 38, pp. 1307 - 1312, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10096-019-03554-7
    Journal articles | 2019
    Muscatello DJ, 2019, 'Redefining influenza seasonality at a global scale and aligning it to the influenza vaccine manufacturing cycle: A descriptive time series analysis', Journal of Infection, 78, pp. 140 - 149, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2018.10.006
    Journal articles | 2018
    Atkinson JA; Knowles D; Wiggers J; Livingston M; Room R; Prodan A; Mcdonnell G; O’Donnell E; Jones S; Haber PS; Muscatello D; Ezard N; Phung N; Freebairn L; Indig D; Rychetnik L; Ananthapavan J; Wutzke S; Conigrave K; Rissel C; Coates P; Moore R; Gupta L; Renshaw F; Price K; Mitchell J; Whitlam G; Lewis N; Heffernan M; Lambert M; Redman S; Shiell A; Penza L; Wilson A, 2018, 'Harnessing advances in computer simulation to inform policy and planning to reduce alcohol-related harms', International Journal of Public Health, 63, pp. 537 - 546, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00038-017-1041-y
    Journal articles | 2018
    Bresee J; Fitzner J; Campbell H; Cohen C; Cozza V; Jara J; Krishnan A; Lee V; WHO Working Group on the Burden of Influenza Disease ; Muscatello D, 2018, 'Progress and Remaining Gaps in Estimating the Global Disease Burden of Influenza', Emerging infectious diseases, 24, pp. 1173 - 1177, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2407.171270
    Journal articles | 2018
    Gul D; Cohen C; Tempia S; Newall AT; Muscatello DJ, 2018, 'Influenza-associated mortality in South Africa, 2009-2013: The importance of choices related to influenza infection proxies', Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses, 12, pp. 54 - 64, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12498
    Journal articles | 2018
    Iuliano AD; Roguski KM; Chang HH; Muscatello DJ; Palekar R; Tempia S; Cohen C; Gran JM; Schanzer D; Cowling BJ; Wu P; Kyncl J; Ang LW; Park M; Redlberger-Fritz M; Yu H; Espenhain L; Krishnan A; Emukule G; van Asten L; Pereira da Silva S; Aungkulanon S; Buchholz U; Widdowson MA; Bresee JS; Azziz-Baumgartner E; Cheng PY; Dawood F; Foppa I; Olsen S; Haber M; Jeffers C; MacIntyre CR; Newall AT; Wood JG; Kundi M; Popow-Kraupp T; Ahmed M; Rahman M; Marinho F; Sotomayor Proschle CV; Vergara Mallegas N; Luzhao F; Sa L; Barbosa-Ramírez J; Sanchez DM; Gomez LA; Vargas XB; Acosta Herrera AB; Llanés MJ; Fischer TK; Krause TG; Mølbak K; Nielsen J; Trebbien R; Bruno A; Ojeda J; Ramos H; an der Heiden M; del Carmen Castillo Signor L; Serrano CE; Bhardwaj R; Chadha M; Narayan V; Kosen S; Bromberg M; Glatman-Freedman A; Kaufman Z; Arima Y; Oishi K; Chaves S; Nyawanda B; Al-Jarallah RA; Kuri-Morales PA; Matus CR; Corona MEJ; Burmaa A; Darmaa O; Obtel M; Cherkaoui I; van den Wijngaard CC; van der Hoek W; Baker M; Bandaranayake D; Bissielo A; Huang S; Lopez L; Newbern C; Flem E; Grøneng GM; Hauge S; de Cosío FG; de Moltó Y; Castillo LM; Cabello MA; von Horoch M; Medina Osis J; Machado A; Nunes B; Rodrigues AP, 2018, 'Estimates of global seasonal influenza-associated respiratory mortality: a modelling study', The Lancet, 391, pp. 1285 - 1300, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)33293-2
    Journal articles | 2018
    Karki S; Muscatello DJ; Banks E; MacIntyre CR; McIntyre P; Liu B, 2018, 'Association between body mass index and laboratory-confirmed influenza in middle aged and older adults: a prospective cohort study', International Journal of Obesity, 42, pp. 1480 - 1488, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41366-018-0029-x
    Journal articles | 2018
    Muscatello DJ; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2018, 'Influenza-associated delays in patient throughput and premature patient departure in emergency departments in New South Wales, Australia: A time series analysis', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, 30, pp. 77 - 80, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12808
    Journal articles | 2018
    Putri WCWS; Muscatello DJ; Stockwell MS; Newall AT, 2018, 'Economic burden of seasonal influenza in the United States', Vaccine, 36, pp. 3960 - 3966, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.05.057
    Journal articles | 2018
    Sagna T; Ilboudo AK; Wandaogo C; Cissé A; Sana M; Tialla D; Sanou AM; Muscatello DJ; Tarnagda Z, 2018, 'Preliminary results of official influenza and acute respiratory infection surveillance in two towns of Burkina Faso, 2013-2015', BMC Infectious Diseases, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-018-3241-3
    Journal articles | 2018
    Tarnagda Z; Cissé A; Bicaba BW; Diagbouga S; Sagna T; Ilboudo AK; Tialla D; Lingani M; Sondo KA; Yougbaré I; Yaméogo I; Sow HE; Sakandé J; Sangaré L; Greco R; Muscatello DJ, 2018, 'Dengue fever in Burkina faso, 2016', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 24, pp. 170 - 172, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2401.170973
    Journal articles | 2018
    Zhang Y; Cao Z; Costantino V; Muscatello DJ; Chughtai AA; Yang P; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2018, 'Influenza illness averted by influenza vaccination among school year children in Beijing, 2013-2016', Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses, 12, pp. 687 - 694, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12585
    Journal articles | 2018
    Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Wang Q; Yang P; Pan Y; Huo D; Liu Z; Zhao X; Tang Y; Li C; Chughtai AA; Macintyre CR, 2018, 'Hospitalizations for influenza-associatesevere acute respiratory infection, Beijing, China, 2014–2016', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 24, pp. 2098 - 2102, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2411.171410
    Journal articles | 2017
    Bein KJ; Berendsen Russell S; Muscatello D; Chalkley D; Ivers R; Dinh MM, 2017, 'Feeling the HEAT: Using Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking to demonstrate a novel method of describing activity and patient flow', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, 29, pp. 173 - 177, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12712
    Journal articles | 2017
    Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Vallmuur K; Muscatello D; Chalkley D; Ivers R, 2017, 'Age-related trends in injury and injury severity presenting to emergency departments in New South Wales Australia: Implications for major injury surveillance and trauma systems', Injury, 48, pp. 171 - 176, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.injury.2016.08.005
    Journal articles | 2017
    Moa AM; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre CR, 2017, 'Epidemiology of influenza B in Australia: 2001-2014 influenza seasons', Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses, 11, pp. 102 - 109, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12432
    Journal articles | 2017
    Muscatello DJ; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2017, 'Emergency Department demand associated with seasonal influenza, 2010 through 2014, New South Wales, Australia', Western Pacific Surveillance and Response, 8, pp. 11 - 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.5365/wpsar.2017.8.2.002
    Journal articles | 2017
    Muscatello DJ; Chughtai AA; Heywood A; Gardner LJ; Heslop DJ; Macintyre CR, 2017, 'Translating real-time infectious disease modeling into routine public health practice', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 23, pp. e1 - e6, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2305.161720
    Journal articles | 2017
    Rosewell A; Makita L; Muscatello D; John LN; Bieb S; Hutton R; Ramamurthy S; Shearman P, 2017, 'Health information system strengthening and malaria elimination in Papua New Guinea', Malaria Journal, 16, pp. 278, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12936-017-1910-0
    Journal articles | 2017
    Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Wang Q; Yang P; Wu J; MacIntyre CR, 2017, 'Overview of influenza vaccination policy in Beijing, China: Current status and future prospects', Journal of Public Health Policy, 38, pp. 366 - 379, http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s41271-017-0079-7
    Journal articles | 2017
    Zhang Y; Wu P; Feng L; Yang P; Pan Y; Feng S; Qin Y; Zheng J; Puig-Barberà J; Muscatello D; MacIntyre CR; Cowling BJ; Yu H; Wang Q, 2017, 'Influenza vaccine effectiveness against influenza-associated hospitalization in 2015/16 season, Beijing, China.', Vaccine, 35, pp. 3129 - 3134, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.03.084
    Journal articles | 2016
    Dinh MM; Berendsen Russell S; Bein KJ; Chalkley D; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Trends and characteristics of short-term and frequent representations to emergency departments: A population-based study from New South Wales, Australia', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, 28, pp. 307 - 312, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12582
    Journal articles | 2016
    Dinh MM; Berendsen Russell S; Bein KJ; Chalkley D; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Understanding drivers of Demand for Emergency Service Trends in Years 2010-2014 in New South Wales: An initial overview of the DESTINY project', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, 28, pp. 179 - 186, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12542
    Journal articles | 2016
    Dinh MM; Muecke S; Berendsen Russell S; Chalkley D; Bein KJ; Muscatello D; Nagaraj G; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Demand for Emergency Services Trends in New South Wales Years 2010–2014 (DESTINY): Age and Clinical Factors Associated with Ambulance Transportation to Emergency Departments', Prehospital Emergency Care, 20, pp. 776 - 782, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10903127.2016.1182603
    Journal articles | 2016
    Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Chalkley DR; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Statewide retrospective study of low acuity emergency presentations in New South Wales, Australia: Who, what, where and why?', BMJ Open, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010964
    Journal articles | 2016
    Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Rogers K; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Hayman J; Chalkley DR; Ivers R, 2016, 'The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (START) to predict Emergency Department Disposition: A derivation and internal validation study using retrospective state-wide data from New South Wales, Australia', BMC Emergency Medicine, 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12873-016-0111-4
    Journal articles | 2016
    Moa AM; Chughtai AA; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre CR, 2016, 'Immunogenicity and safety of inactivated quadrivalent influenza vaccine in adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials', Vaccine, 34, pp. 4092 - 4102, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.06.064
    Journal articles | 2016
    Norton S; Cordery DV; Abbenbroek BJ; Ryan AC; Muscatello DJ, 2016, 'Towards public health surveillance of intensive care services in NSW, Australia', Public Health Research and Practice, 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.17061/phrp2631633
    Journal articles | 2016
    Sullivan SG; Franklin LJ; Raupach J; Pennington K; Bareja C; de Kluyver R; National Influenza Surveillance Committee (inc. DJ Muscatello) , 2016, 'A brief overview of influenza surveillance systems in Australia, 2015', Communicable Diseases Intelligence, 40, pp. E347 - E351, http://www.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/cda-cdi4003f.htm
    Journal articles | 2016
    Whitlam G; Dinh M; Rodgers C; Muscatello DJ; McGuire R; Ryan T; Thackway S, 2016, 'Diagnosis-based emergency department alcohol harm surveillance: What can it tell us about acute alcohol harms at the population level?', Drug and Alcohol Review, 35, pp. n/a - n/a, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/dar.12458
    Journal articles | 2015
    Davey HM; Muscatello DJ; Wood JG; Snelling TL; Ferson MJ; Macartney KK, 2015, 'Impact of high coverage of monovalent human rotavirus vaccine on Emergency Department presentations for rotavirus gastroenteritis', Vaccine, 33, pp. 1726 - 1730, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.01.082
    Journal articles | 2015
    Dinh MM; Bein KJ; Latt M; Chalkley D; Muscatello D, 2015, 'Age before acuity: The drivers of demand for emergency department services in the Greater Sydney Area', Emergency Medicine Journal, 32, pp. 708 - 711, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/emermed-2014-204174
    Journal articles | 2015
    Gale M; Muscatello DJ; Dinh M; Byrnes J; Shakeshaft A; Hayen A; MacIntyre CR; Haber P; Cretikos M; Morton P, 2015, 'Alcopops, taxation and harm: A segmented time series analysis of emergency department presentations', BMC Public Health, 15, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-015-1769-3
    Journal articles | 2015
    Koopman B; Karimi S; Nguyen A; McGuire R; Muscatello D; Kemp M; Truran D; Zhang M; Thackway S, 2015, 'Automatic classification of diseases from free-text death certificates for real-time surveillance', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 15, pp. 53, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12911-015-0174-2
    Journal articles | 2015
    Leung K; Ringland C; Salmon A; Chessman J; Muscatello D, 2015, 'That’s entertainment: Trends in late-night assaults and acute alcohol illness in Sydney's Entertainment Precinct', Crime and Justice Bulletin, http://www.bocsar.nsw.gov.au/Pages/bocsar_news/cjb185-Trends-in-late-night-assaults.aspx
    Journal articles | 2014
    Leonard C; Bein KJ; Latt M; Muscatello D; Veillard AS; Dinh MM, 2014, 'Demand for emergency department services in the elderly: An 11 year analysis of the Greater Sydney Area', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, 26, pp. 356 - 360, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12250
    Journal articles | 2014
    Liljeqvist HTG; Muscatello D; Sara G; Dinh M; Lawrence GL, 2014, 'Accuracy of automatic syndromic classification of coded emergency department diagnoses in identifying mental health-related presentations for public health surveillance', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-14-84
    Journal articles | 2014
    Muscatello DJ; Amin J; MacIntyre CR; Newall AT; Rawlinson WD; Sintchenko V; Gilmour R; Thackway S, 2014, 'Inaccurate ascertainment of morbidity and mortality due to influenza in administrative databases: A population-based record linkage study', PLoS ONE, 9, pp. e98446, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0098446
    Journal articles | 2013
    Cashmore AW; Muscatello DJ; Merrifield A; Spokes P; Macartney K; Jalaludin BB, 2013, 'Relationship between the population incidence of pertussis in children in New South Wales, Australia and emergency department visits with cough: a time series analysis', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 13, pp. 1 - 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-13-40
    Journal articles | 2013
    Mitchell RJ; Bambach M; Muscatello D; McKenzie K; Balogh ZJ, 2013, 'Can SNOMED CT as implemented in New South Wales, Australia be used for road trauma injury surveillance in emergency departments?', Health Information Management Journal, 42, pp. 4 - 8, http://search.informit.com.au/documentSummary;dn=353339589984122;res=IELHEA
    Journal articles | 2013
    Muscatello DJ; Newall AT; Dwyer DE; MacIntyre CR, 2013, 'Mortality Attributable to Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza, Australia, 2003 to 2009, Using a Novel Time Series Smoothing Approach', PLoS ONE, 8, pp. e64734 - e64734, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0064734
    Journal articles | 2013
    Simonsen L; Spreeuwenberg P; Lustig R; Taylor RJ; Fleming DM; Kroneman M; Van Kerkhove MD; Mounts AW; Paget WJ; Echenique H; Savy V; Muscatello D; MacIntyre CR; Dwyer DE; Azziz-Baumgartner E; Homaira N; Moura FEA; Schuck C; Akwar H; Schanzer D; Fuentes R; Olea A; Sotomayor V; Feng L; Yu H; Mazick A; Mølbak K; Nielsen J; Carrat F; Lemaitre M; Buchholz U; Schweiger B; Höhle M; Vesenbeckh S; Cowling B; Leung G; Tsang T; Chuang SK; Bromberg M; Kaufman Z; Sugaya N; Oka Ezoe K; Hayashi S; Matsuda M; Lopez-Gatell H; Alpuche-Aranda C; Noyola D; Chowell G; van Asten L; Meijer A; van den Wijngaard K; van der Sande M; Baker M; Zhang J; Benavides JG; Munayco C; Laguna-Torres A; Rabczenko D; Wojtyniak B; Park SH; Lee YK; Zolotusca L; Popovici O; Popescu R; Ang LW; Cutter J; Lin R; Ma S; Chen M; Lee VJ; Prosenc K; Socan M; Cohen C; Larrauri A; de Mateo S; Méndez LS; Sanz CD; Andrews N; Green HK; Pebody R; Saei A; Shay D; Viboud C, 2013, 'Global Mortality Estimates for the 2009 Influenza Pandemic from the GLaMOR Project: A Modeling Study', PLoS Medicine, 10, pp. e1001558, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001558
    Journal articles | 2012
    Chen H-Y; Jan S; Boufous S; Martiniuk A; Ivers R; Senserrick T; Norton R; Muscatello D, 2012, 'Variations in car crash-related hospitalization costs amongst young adults in New South Wales, Australia', Injury : International Journal of the Care of the Injured, 43, pp. 1593 - 1599, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020138311002531
    Journal articles | 2012
    Schaffer A; Muscatello D; Broome R; Corbett S; Smith W, 2012, 'Emergency department visits, ambulance calls, and mortality associated with an exceptional heat wave in Sydney, Australia, 2011: A time-series analysis', Environmental Health: A Global Access Science Source, 11, pp. 3, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1476-069X-11-3
    Journal articles | 2012
    Schaffer A; Muscatello D; Cretikos M; Gilmour R; Tobin S; Ward J, 2012, 'The impact of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 compared with seasonal influenza on intensive care admissions in New South Wales, Australia, 2007 to 2010: A time series analysis', BMC Public Health, 12, pp. 869, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-869
    Journal articles | 2011
    Descallar J; Muscatello D; Weatherburn D; Chu M; Moffatt S, 2011, 'The association between the incidence of emergency department attendances for alcohol problems and assault incidents attended by police in New South Wales, Australia, 2003-2008: a time series analysis', Addiction, 107, pp. 549 - 556, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2011.03623.x
    Journal articles | 2011
    Hayden TJ; Muscatello DJ, 2011, 'Increased presentations to emergency departments for asthma associated with rye grass pollen season in inland NSW.', New South Wales public health bulletin, 22, pp. 154 - 158, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb10035
    Journal articles | 2011
    Muscatello D; Barr M; Thackway S; MacIntyre CR, 2011, 'Epidemiology of influenza-like illness during pandemic (H1N1) 2009, New South Wales, Australia', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 17, pp. 1240 - 1247, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1707.101173
    Journal articles | 2011
    Polkinghorne B; Muscatello D; MacIntyre CR; Lawrence GL; Middleton PM; Torvaldsen S, 2011, 'Relationship between the population incidence of febrile convulsions in young children in Sydney, Australia and seasonal epidemics of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus, 2003-2010: a time series analysis', BMC Infectious Diseases, 11, pp. 1 - 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-11-291
    Journal articles | 2011
    Sparks RS; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2011, 'Optimal exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) plans for detecting seasonal epidemics when faced with non-homogeneous negative binomial counts', Journal of Applied Statistics, 38, pp. 2165 - 2181, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2010.545184
    Journal articles | 2011
    Thomas SL; Muscatello DJ; Middleton PM; Zheng W, 2011, 'Characteristics of fall-related injuries attended by an ambulance in Sydney, Australia: a surveillance summary.', New South Wales public health bulletin, 22, pp. 49 - 54, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb09034
    Journal articles | 2010
    Carter CK; Sparks R; Graham P; Muscatello D; Churches T; Kaldor J; Turner R; Zheng W; Ryan L, 2010, 'Understanding sources of variation in syndromic surveillance for early warning of natural or intentional disease outbreaks', IIE Transactions, 42, pp. 613 - 631, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07408170902942667
    Journal articles | 2010
    Churches T; Conaty SJ; Gilmour RE; Muscatello DJ, 2010, 'Reflections on public health surveillance of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 influenza in NSW.', New South Wales public health bulletin, 21, pp. 19 - 25, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb09046
    Journal articles | 2010
    Earnest A; Beard JR; Morgan G; Lincoln D; Summerhayes R; Donoghue D; Dunn T; Muscatello D; Mengersen K, 2010, 'Small area estimation of sparse disease counts using shared component models-application to birth defect registry data in New South Wales, Australia', Health and Place, 16, pp. 684 - 693, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.healthplace.2010.02.006
    Journal articles | 2010
    Muscatello D; Cretikos M; MacIntyre CR, 2010, 'All-cause mortality during first wave of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, New South Wales, Australia, 2009', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 16, pp. 1 - 7, http://www.cdc.gov/EID/content/16/9/1396.htm
    Journal articles | 2010
    O'Toole L; Muscatello DJ; Zheng W; Churches T, 2010, 'Can near real-time monitoring of emergency department diagnoses facilitate early response to sporadic meningococcal infection? - prospective and retrospective evaluations', BMC Infectious Diseases, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-10-309
    Journal articles | 2010
    Sparks R; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2010, 'Exponentially weighted moving average plans for detecting unusual negative binomial counts', IIE Transactions (Institute of Industrial Engineers), 42, pp. 721 - 733, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07408170903468597
    Journal articles | 2010
    Sparks RS; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2010, 'Early warning CUSUM plans for surveillance of negative binomial daily disease counts', Journal of Applied Statistics, 37, pp. 1911 - 1929, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02664760903186056
    Journal articles | 2009
    Belshaw D; Muscatello D; Ferson MJ; Nuekic A, 2009, 'Rotavirus vaccination one year on...', Annual report of the Australian Meningococcal Surveillance Programme, 2007--Amended, 33, pp. 337 - 340, http://www.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/cda-cdi3303j.htm
    Journal articles | 2009
    Carlson SJ; Dalton CB; Tuyl FA; Durrheim DN; Fejsa J; Muscatello DJ; Francis JL; d'Espaignet ET, 2009, 'Flutracking surveillance: comparing 2007 New South Wales results with laboratory confirmed influenza notifications.', Communicable diseases intelligence, 33, pp. 323 - 327
    Journal articles | 2009
    Cretikos MA; Muscatello DJ; Patterson J; Conaty S; Churches T; Fizzell J; Chant KG; McAnulty JM; Thackway S, 2009, 'Progression and impact of the first winter wave of the 2009 pandemic H1N1 influenza in New South Wales, Australia.', Eurosurveillance, 14, pp. 28 - 36, http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000271463800006&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a
    Journal articles | 2009
    Muscatello DJ; Thackway SV; Belshaw DA; McGrath D, 2009, 'What can public health surveillance of emergency department presentations for acute alcohol problems tell us about social trends in drinking behaviour?', Medical Journal of Australia, 191, pp. 237 - 238, http://dx.doi.org/10.5694/j.1326-5377.2009.tb02768.x
    Journal articles | 2009
    Schindeler S; Muscatello D; Ferson MJ; Rogers K; Grant P; Churches T, 2009, 'Evaluation of alternative respiratory syndromes for specific syndromic surveillance of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus: a time series analysis', BMC Infectious Diseases, 9, pp. online, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-9-190
    Journal articles | 2009
    Sparks RS; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2009, 'Improving EWMA Plans for Detecting Unusual Increases in Poisson Counts', Journal of Applied Mathematics and Decision Sciences, 2009, pp. 1 - 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2009/512356
    Journal articles | 2009
    Thackway S; Churches T; Fizzell J; Muscatello D; Armstrong P, 2009, 'Should cities hosting mass gatherings invest in public health surveillance and planning? Reflections from a decade of mass gatherings in Sydney, Australia', BMC Public Health, 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-9-324
    Journal articles | 2008
    Hope K; Durrheim DN; Muscatello D; Merritt T; Zheng W; Massey P; Cashman P; Eastwood K, 2008, 'Identifying pneumonia outbreaks of public health importance: Can emergency department data aissist in earlier identification?', Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health, 32, pp. 361 - 363, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1753-6405.2008.00255.x
    Journal articles | 2008
    Hope K; Merritt T; Eastwood K; Main K; Durrheim DN; Muscatello D; Todd K; Zheng W, 2008, 'The public health value of emergency department syndromic surveillance following a natural disaster.', Communicable diseases intelligence, 32, pp. 92 - 94
    Journal articles | 2008
    Muscatello DJ; Morton PM; Evans I; Gilmour R, 2008, 'Prospective surveillance of excess mortality due to influenza in New South Wales: feasibility and statistical approach.', Communicable diseases intelligence, 32, pp. 435 - 442
    Journal articles | 2007
    Moody WE; Hendry RG; Muscatello D, 2007, 'Were attendances to accident and emergency departments in England and Australia influenced by the Rugby World Cup Final 2003?', European Journal of Emergency Medicine, 14, pp. 68 - 71, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/01.mej.0000228450.37974.a8
    Journal articles | 2007
    Turner R; Muscatello D; Zheng WH; Willmore A; Arendts G, 2007, 'An outbreak of cardiovascular syndromes requiring urgent medical treatment and its association with environmental factors: an ecological study', Environmental Health, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1476-069X-6-37
    Journal articles | 2007
    Zheng W; Aitken R; Muscatello DJ; Churches T, 2007, 'Potential for early warning of viral influenza activity in the community by monitoring clinical diagnoses of influenza in hospital emergency departments', BMC Public Health, 7, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-7-250
    Journal articles | 2007
    Zheng W; Muscatello D; Chan AC, 2007, 'Deck the halls with rows of trolleys ... emergency departments are busiest over the Christmas holiday periods', Medical Journal of Australia, 187, pp. 630 - 633
    Journal articles | 2006
    Muscatello DJ; Cretikos MA; Bartlett MJ; Churches T; Carter IW; Eastwood K; Heron LG; McPhie KA, 2006, 'Planning for pandemic influenza surveillance in NSW.', New South Wales public health bulletin, 17, pp. 146 - 149, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb06038
    Journal articles | 2006
    Muscatello DJ; Searles A; Macdonald R; Jorm L, 2006, 'Communicating population health statistics through graphs: A randomised controlled trial of graph design interventions', BMC Medicine, 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1741-7015-4-33
    Journal articles | 2005
    Muscatello DJ; Churches T; Kaldor J; Zheng W; Chiu C; Correll P; Jorm L, 2005, 'An automated, broad-based, near real-time public health surveillance system using presentations to hospital Emergency Departments in New South Wales, Australia', BMC Public Health, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-5-141
    Journal articles | 2005
    Telfer BL; Moberley SA; Hort KP; Branley JM; Dwyer DE; Muscatello DJ; Correll PK; England J; McAnulty JM, 2005, 'Probable psittacosis outbreak linked to wild birds', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 11, pp. 391 - 397, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1103.040601
    Journal articles | 2005
    Torres M; Muscatello D; Eyeson-Annan M, 2005, 'Development of a standardised regional report from the NSW Health Survey Program.', New South Wales public health bulletin, 16, pp. 8 - 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb05003
    Journal articles | 2003
    Brotherton JML; Bartlett MJ; Muscatello DJ; Campbell-Lloyd S; Stewart K; McAnulty JM, 2003, 'Do we practice what we preach? Health care worker screening and vaccination', American Journal of Infection Control, 31, pp. 144 - 150, http://dx.doi.org/10.1067/mic.2003.24
    Journal articles | 2002
    Muscatello D, 2002, 'Program for Enhanced Population Health Infostructure (PEPHI)--a report of responses to the November 2000 discussion paper.', New South Wales public health bulletin, 13 Suppl S-2, pp. 1 - 39, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/NB02S12
    Journal articles | 2002
    Muscatello D, 2002, 'Release of Program for Enhanced Population Health Infostructure (PEPHI): a report of responses to the November 2000 discussion paper.', New South Wales public health bulletin, 13, pp. 114, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/NB02049
    Journal articles | 2002
    Public Health Division , 2002, 'Burden of disease New South Wales--feasibility report.', N S W Public Health Bull, 13 Suppl 5, pp. 1 - 37, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb02s50
    Journal articles | 2001
    Lincoln D; Muscatello D, 2001, 'Time trends in emergency department presentations of children with acute severe asthma in New South Wales.', N S W Public Health Bull, 12, pp. 293 - 295, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb01098
    Journal articles | 2001
    Muscatello D; Mitchell R, 2001, 'Identifying work-related injury and disease in routinely collected New South Wales hospitalisation data.', N S W Public Health Bull, 12, pp. 195 - 198, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb01066
    Journal articles | 2001
    Muscatello D; Sainsbury P; Rissel C, 2001, 'Informal Caring in Central Sydney.', N S W Public Health Bull, 12, pp. 12 - 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb01005
    Journal articles | 2001
    Muscatello D; Travis S, 2001, 'Using the International Classification of Diseases with HOIST.', N S W Public Health Bull, 12, pp. 289 - 293, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb01097
    Journal articles | 2001
    Muscatello DJ; O'Grady KA; Neville K; McAnulty J, 2001, 'Acute poststreptococcal glomerulonephritis: Public health implications of recent clusters in New South Wales and epidemiology of hospital admissions', Epidemiology and Infection, 126, pp. 365 - 372, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268801005568
    Journal articles | 2001
    Muscatello DJ; Rissel C; Szonyi G, 2001, 'Urinary symptoms and incontinence in an urban community: Prevalence and associated factors in older men and women', Internal Medicine Journal, 31, pp. 151 - 160, http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1445-5994.2001.00035.x
    Journal articles | 2000
    McAnulty J; Habib M; Muscatello D, 2000, 'Meningococcal disease in New South Wales 1991-1999: EpiReview.', N S W Public Health Bull, 11, pp. 128 - 130, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb00057
    Journal articles | 2000
    Muscatello D; McAnulty J, 2000, 'Arboviruses in New South Wales, 1991 to 1999: EpiReview.', N S W Public Health Bull, 11, pp. 190 - 192, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb00086
    Journal articles | 2000
    Muscatello D; Saville G, 2000, 'The potential of the New South Wales Poisons Information Centre for surveillance of unintentional poisoning in young children.', N S W Public Health Bull, 11, pp. 181 - 183, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb00083
    Journal articles | 2000
    Young JM; Muscatello DJ; Ward JE, 2000, 'Are men with lower urinary tract symptoms at increased risk of prostate cancer? A systematic review and critique of the available evidence', BJU International, 85, pp. 1037 - 1048, http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1464-410X.2000.00659.x
    Journal articles | 1987
    Kirkham DJ; Muscatello DJ, 1987, 'Map migration and 3D modelling in a complex velocity medium', Exploration Geophysics, 18, pp. 120 - 122, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/EG987120
  • Conference Presentations | 2021
    Muscatello D; McIntyre P, 2021, '1363Just a flu? Comparing COVID-19 and influenza mortality', Vol. 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab168.466
    Conference Abstracts | 2021
    Waudby C; Osborne N; Muscatello D, 2021, '1478Extreme daily numbers of general practice encounters of asthma and allergic rhinitis in Australia', in International Journal of Epidemiology, Oxford University Press (OUP), Vol. 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab168.703
    Conference Abstracts | 2021
    Waudby C; Osborne N; Muscatello D, 2021, 'Extreme daily numbers of general practice encounters of asthma and allergic rhinitis in Australia', in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY, OXFORD UNIV PRESS, Vol. 50, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000695815900676&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Conference Abstracts | 2019
    L G; B M; N O; D M; Osborne N; Muscatello D, 2019, 'Human seasonal influenza and climate change: a systematic review of the methods used to examine the relationship between meteorological variables and influenza', in Environmental Epidemiology, Wolters Kluwer, Vol. 3, pp. 137 - 137, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/01.ee9.0000607256.48033.53
    Conference Presentations | 2019
    Moa A; Muscatello D; Turner R; MacIntyre R, (ed.), 2019, 'Estimated hospitalisations attributable to seasonal and pandemic influenza in Australia: 2001- 2013', presented at WHO Consultation on Influenza Burden of Disease, Geneva, Switzerland, 25 June 2019 - 27 June 2019, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0230705
    Conference Presentations | 2019
    Muscatello D; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2019, 'Influenza‐associated burden in emergency departments in New South Wales, Australia, 2010 ‐ 2014', presented at WHO Consultation on Influenza Burden of Disease, Geneva Switzerland, 25 June 2019 - 27 June 2019
    Conference Presentations | 2019
    Muscatello D; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2019, 'Influenza‐associated effect on implementation of an emergency department length of stay policy in a state health system, New South Wales, Australia: A time series analysis', presented at WHO Consultation on Influenza Burden of Disease, Geneva, Switzerland, 25 – 27 June 2019, 25 June 2019 - 27 June 2019
    Conference Presentations | 2019
    Muscatello D; Leong R; Turner RJ; Newall A, 2019, 'A Novel Method for Rapid Mapping of the Spatial Intensity of Influenza Epidemics', presented at International Society of Disease Surveillance Annual Conference, San Diego, USA, 29 January 2019 - 01 February 2019
    Conference Presentations | 2019
    Muscatello D, 2019, 'Redefining influenza seasonality and aligning each country's immunisation policy to the influenza vaccine manufacturing cycle: a descriptive time series analysis', presented at WHO Consultation on Influenza Burden of Disease, Geneva, Switzerland, 25 June 2019 - 27 June 2019
    Conference Presentations | 2019
    N O; C W; S S; D M, 2019, 'Pollen Flowing over the Great Dividing Range, Australia', Vol. 3, pp. 429 - 429, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/01.ee9.0000610820.53949.3a
    Conference Abstracts | 2018
    Muscatello D; Bein K; Dinh M, 2018, 'Estimating Emergency Department performance decline attributable to overcrowding caused by seasonal influenza', in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES, ELSEVIER SCI LTD, Vol. 73, pp. 97 - 97, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2018.04.3643
    Conference Abstracts | 2018
    Muscatello D, 2018, 'Population-weighted global seasonality of influenza', in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES, ELSEVIER SCI LTD, Vol. 73, pp. 98 - 98, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2018.04.3645
    Conference Presentations | 2017
    Muscatello D; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2017, 'Seasonal influenza is associated with overcrowding in New South Wales Emergency Departments', presented at Communicable Diseases Control (CDC) Conference 2017, Melbourne, 26 June 2017 - 28 June 2017
    Conference Presentations | 2017
    Muscatello D; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2017, 'The burden of influenza on emergency department care', presented at 15th World Congress on Public Health, Melbourne, 03 April 2017 - 07 April 2017
    Conference Posters | 2017
    Seale H; Meyer L; Narasimhan P; Muscatello D, 2017, 'Promoting work integrated learning opportunities to postgraduate students', presented at Council of Academic Public Health Institutions Australia (CAPHIA) Public Health Teaching and Learning Forum
    Conference Abstracts | 2016
    Moa AM; Muscatello DJ; Turner R; MacIntyre CR, 2016, 'Using Laboratory Data to Aid Early Warning in Prospective Influenza Mortality Surveillance', in Online Journal of Public Health Informatics; Vol 8, No 1 (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.5210/ojphi.v8i1.6557
    Conference Presentations | 2016
    Muscatello D, 2016, 'A flexible time series modelling approach for estimating influenza burden', presented at WHO Consultation on Consultation on National, Regional and Global Estimates of the Burden of Influenza Disease, Geneva, 12 July 2016 - 13 July 2016
    Conference Presentations | 2016
    Seale H; Meyer L; Narasimhan P; Muscatello D, 2016, 'Work integrated internship program to postgraduate students at SPHCM UNSW', presented at UNSW Medicine Learning & Teaching Forum
    Conference Abstracts | 2016
    Whitlam G; Dinh M; Rodgers C; Muscatello D; Ryan T; McGuire R; Thackway S, 2016, 'DIAGNOSIS-BASED EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT ALCOHOL HARM SURVEILLANCE: WHAT CAN IT TELL US ABOUT ACUTE ALCOHOL HARMS AT THE POPULATION LEVEL?', in DRUG AND ALCOHOL REVIEW, WILEY, Vol. 35, pp. 74 - 74, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000398381500202&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Conference Abstracts | 2014
    Muscatello DJ; Amin J; MacIntyre CR; Newall AT; Rawlinson WD; Sintchenko V; Gilmour R; Thackway S, 2014, 'Under-ascertainment of Illness due to Influenza in Administrative Databases, a Population-based Record Linkage Study', in Online J Public Health Inform, University of Illinois at Chicago Library, Vol. 6, pp. e169, http://dx.doi.org/10.5210/ojphi.v6i1.5189
    Theses / Dissertations | 2014
    Muscatello DJ, 2014, Improving seasonal and pandemic influenza surveillance, epidemiology and disease burden estimation in populations using administrative and vital statistics databases and population surveys
    Reports | 2013
    Do A; Cretikos M; Muscatello DJ; Rose N, 2013, Epidemiology of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests, NSW, 2012: Time, place and person, NSW Ministry of Health, North Sydney, SHPN (CEE) 130081, http://www.health.nsw.gov.au/epidemiology/Publications/epidemiology-OOH-cardiac-arrest.pdf
    Conference Presentations | 2012
    Do A; Muscatello D; Barr M, 2012, 'From survey to surveillance: influenza like illness and influenza vaccine uptake', presented at Population Health Congress, Adelaide, South Australia, -
    Conference Abstracts | 2012
    Muscatello D; MacIntyre R; Dwyer D; Newall A, 2012, 'Comparison of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 mortality with seasonal influenza mortality in Australia', in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES, ELSEVIER SCI LTD, Vol. 16, pp. E355 - E355, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2012.05.439
    Conference Abstracts | 2008
    Summerhayes R; Lincoln D; Morgan G; Earnest A; Muscatello D; Beard J, 2008, 'The Effects of Maternal Exposure to Disinfection By-Products in Drinking Water on Small for Gestational Age Births', in EPIDEMIOLOGY, LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS, CA, Pasadena, Vol. 19, pp. S243 - S243, presented at 20th Annual Conference of the International-Society-for-Environmental-Epidemiology, CA, Pasadena, 12 October 2008 - 16 October 2008, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000260191901157&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Conference Abstracts | 2006
    Aitken R; Muscatello D; Zheng W; Sintchenko V; Tankel A; Miller G; Corben P, 2006, 'Detection of an Outbreak of Enteroviral Meningitis through Syndromic Surveillance: An Evaluation of Statistical Process Control Techniques', in Australasian Epidemiologist, presented at Australasian Epidemiological Association Annual Scientific Meeting
    Reports | 2006
    Muscatello DJ; Searles A; Macdonald R; Jorm L, 2006, Better health graphs - Volume 1, NSW Department of Health, North Sydney
    Reports | 2006
    Muscatello DJ; Searles A; Macdonald R; Jorm L, 2006, Better health graphs - Volume 2, NSW Department of Health, North Sydney
    Conference Abstracts | 2003
    Muscatello DJ, 2003, 'February asthma epidemics in New South Wales, Australia: Mapping their intensity and geographic distribution', in EPIDEMIOLOGY, LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS, AUSTRALIA, PERTH, Vol. 14, pp. S121 - S121, presented at 15th Conference of the International-Society-for-Environment-Epidemiology, AUSTRALIA, PERTH, 23 September 2003 - 26 September 2003, http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/00001648-200309001-00295
    Reports | 2000
    Muscatello D, 2000, Program For Enhanced Population Health Infostructure (PEPHI): Discussion Paper, NSW Department of Health, North Sydney, https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/hsnsw/Publications/pephi-paper-nov00.pdf
    Theses / Dissertations | 1998
    Muscatello DJ, 1998, Surveillance of Acute Conditions Through NSW Emergency Departments, Australian National University

2021-2025 NHMRC Investigator Grant (EL1)

The PEARL project

With ever-increasing availability of electronic health and related records, there is a need to unify previously independent sources of information for infectious disease surveillance. This project aims to investigate the benefits of integrating multiple sources of information for surveillance of important epidemic respiratory infections, COVID-19 and influenza. 

In 2022, the epidemiological landscape of respiratory infections is highly unusual in the recent history of humanity. It is characterised by:

  • A pandemic of SARS-CoV-2 virus that has killed at least 6 million. It continues to cause major social disruption and economic cost after 2 years.
  • Virtual disappearance globally of influenza infections, and now a sharp return.
  • Decline in incidence of other common respiratory infections associated with stay at home orders and varying and unusual epidemic rebound following loosening of restrictions.

The PEARL (pandemic and epidemic risk assessment using linked data) database contains the probabilistically linked short-term (28 day) health outcome records for a cohort of persons presenting to emergency departments in New South Wales (NSW), Australia, population >8,000,000. The cohort consists of people with a respiratory infection or respiratory infection-like illness, that could be caused by COVID-19 or pandemic or seasonal influenza. Linkage is with notified confirmed COVID-19 and influenza infections, ambulance despatch and electronic medical records, hospital admission and death records. Intensive care admission status is included.

This 5 year (from 2021) National Health and Medical Research Council-funded research project will establish and use the PEARL database as a research asset. The database can be used to emulate real-time public health surveillance of persons presenting to NSW emergency departments with fever, unspecified infections, symptoms of respiratory infections and some specific respiratory infections. Through record linkage, we aim to demonstrate how future surveillance systems using integrated, electronic medical and other records can provide a much richer and more useful source of surveillance information and epidemic risk assessment.

 

Objectives

1. Create the PEARL database as an epidemic research resource.

2. Using the PEARL database identify early epidemic severity characteristics for severe influenza and COVID-19 epidemics in NSW.

3. To develop an analytic approach for locally-specific epidemic risk assessments using temporospatial statistical methods.

4. Using the PEARL database, demonstrate how linked data can be used to estimate the added burden on health services and deaths due to both known and unknown influenza and COVID-19 infections during epidemic periods.

Linked data Inclusions

Dataset

Period

Linkage inclusions

NSW Emergency Department Data Collection

Jan 2005 – Dec 2024

Primary cohort of persons presenting with respiratory infection or infection-like illness

NSW Ambulance despatch and eMR

Jan 2009 – Dec 2024

Ambulance 000 call date on the same or previous day of the arrival date of the EDDC presentation

NSW Admitted Patient Data Collection

Jan 2005 – Dec 2024

Admission Date within 0 to 28 days, inclusive, of the arrival date of the EDDC presentation

NSW Notifiable Conditions Information Management System – Influenza and COVID-19

Jan 2005 – Dec 2024

Calculated_onset_date within -28 to +28 days, inclusive, of the EDDC presentation

ABS Cause of death unit record file and NSW death registrations

Jan 2005 – Dec 2024

Date of death within 0 to 28 days, inclusive, of the arrival date of the EDDC presentation

 

My Research Supervision

My Teaching

Outbreak investigation PHCM9731, Bioterrorism and Health Intelligence PHCM9789, Internships PHCM9143