Dr Kishor Kumar Paul

Dr Kishor Kumar Paul

Research Associate

MBBS, Dhaka Medical College, Dhaka, Bangladesh

MPH (Epidemiology), National Institute of Preventive and Social Medicine (NIPSOM), Dhaka, Bangladesh

PhD (Epidemiology), Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

Medicine & Health
School of Population Health

I am a medically trained epidemiologist with expertise in both field epidemiology and mathematical modelling of infectious diseases. I have expertise in analyzing linked health and administrative data to determine burden of infectious diseases (for diseases such as COVID-19 and Flu). I have expertise in designing and conducting population based epidemiological studies to understand the transmission history and risk factors of diseases such as dengue, chikungunya, Japanese encephalitis, hepatitis E, and cholera. I have particular expertise in using deterministic compartmental models to assess impact of climate change on infectious disease transmission and control. I have further expertise in evaluating models of care for tuberculosis and co-epidemics of tuberculosis and diabetes mellitus.

Through my research, I aim to identify vulnerable groups susceptible to infectious diseases and to generate insights into potential preventive measures to mitigate future epidemics and pandemics. I utilize both routinely collected disease surveillance data and population-based epidemiological studies to answer policy-relevant research questions.

I also use compartmental mathematical models to uncover hidden burden of infectious diseases and to evaluate the long-term epidemiological implications of climate change on these diseases. In my previous research, I evaluated the impact of climate change on dengue transmission levels in the 21st Century across various climate change scenarios.

I worked with public health agencies/stakeholders to identify research gaps and priorities. Previously, I served as a physician scientist at the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), and contributed as a team member to the COVID-19 response team at NSW Health, where I played a role in developing processes for data acquisition and reporting.

  • Journal articles | 2024
    Allen SW; Ribeiro Dos Santos G; Paul KK; Paul R; Rahman MZ; Alam MS; Rahman M; Al-Amin HM; Vanhomwegen J; Weaver SC; Smull T; Lee KH; Gurley ES; Salje H, 2024, 'Results of a nationally representative seroprevalence survey of chikungunya virus in Bangladesh.', J Infect Dis, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiae335
    Journal articles | 2024
    Duque MP; Naser AM; dos Santos GR; O'Driscoll M; Paul KK; Rahman M; Alam MS; Al-Amin HM; Rahman MZ; Hossain ME; Paul RC; Luby SP; Cauchemez S; Vanhomwegen J; Gurley ES; Salje H, 2024, 'Informing an investment case for Japanese encephalitis vaccine introduction in Bangladesh', Science Advances, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adp1657
    Journal articles | 2024
    Muscatello DJ; Rose N; Paul KK; Ware S; Dinh MM; Mohsin M; Craig AT; Dyda A; Forero R, 2024, 'Epidemiological comparison of emergency department presentations with seasonal influenza or COVID-19 and an outcome of intensive care admission or death: A population-based records linkage study in New South Wales, Australia', Journal of Infection, 89, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2024.106307
    Journal articles | 2022
    Biswas S; Uddin MKM; Paul KK; Ather MF; Ahmed S; Nasrin R; Kabir S; Heysell SK; Banu S, 2022, 'Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra assay for the detection of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in people with negative conventional Xpert MTB/RIF but chest imaging suggestive of tuberculosis in Dhaka, Bangladesh', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 114, pp. 244 - 251, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2021.11.010
    Journal articles | 2022
    Qin ZZ; Barrett R; Ahmed S; Sarker MS; Paul K; Adel ASS; Banu S; Creswell J, 2022, 'Comparing different versions of computer-aided detection products when reading chest X-rays for tuberculosis', PLOS Digital Health, 1, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000067
    Journal articles | 2021
    Alkabab YMA; Biswas S; Ahmed S; Paul K; Nagajyothi J; Banu S; Heysell S, 2021, 'Differentiating transient from persistent diabetic range hyperglycemia in a cohort of people completing tuberculosis treatment in Dhaka, Bangladesh', PLoS ONE, 16, pp. e0260389, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260389
    Journal articles | 2021
    Kabir S; Rahman SMM; Ahmed S; Islam MS; Banu RS; Shewade HD; Thekkur P; Anwar S; Banu NA; Nasrin R; Uddin MKM; Choudhury S; Ahmed S; Paul KK; Khatun R; Chisti MJ; Banu S, 2021, 'Xpert Ultra Assay on Stool to Diagnose Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Children', Clinical Infectious Diseases, 73, pp. 226 - 234, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa583
    Journal articles | 2021
    Paul KK; Macadam I; Green D; Regan DG; Gray RT, 2021, 'Dengue transmission risk in a changing climate: Bangladesh is likely to experience a longer dengue fever season in the future', Environmental Research Letters, 16, pp. 114003, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2b60
    Journal articles | 2021
    Qin ZZ; Ahmed S; Sarker MS; Paul K; Adel ASS; Naheyan T; Barrett R; Banu S; Creswell J, 2021, 'Tuberculosis detection from chest x-rays for triaging in a high tuberculosis-burden setting: an evaluation of five artificial intelligence algorithms', The Lancet Digital Health, 3, pp. e543 - e554, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00116-3
    Journal articles | 2020
    Al-Amin HM; Johora FT; Irish S; Hossainey MRH; Vizcaino L; Paul KK; Khan W; Haque R; Alam MS; Lenhart A, 2020, 'Insecticide resistance status ofAedes aegyptiin Bangladesh', , http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.31.231076
    Journal articles | 2020
    Al-Amin HM; Johora FT; Irish SR; Hossainey MRH; Vizcaino L; Paul KK; Khan WA; Haque R; Alam MS; Lenhart A, 2020, 'Insecticide resistance status of Aedes aegypti in Bangladesh', Parasites and Vectors, 13, pp. 622, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13071-020-04503-6
    Journal articles | 2020
    Azman AS; Lauer SA; Bhuiyan TR; Luquero FJ; Leung DT; Hegde ST; Harris JB; Paul KK; Khaton F; Ferdous J; Lessler J; Salje H; Qadri F; Gurley ES, 2020, 'Vibrio cholerae O1 transmission in Bangladesh: insights from a nationally representative serosurvey.', The Lancet. Microbe, 1, pp. e336 - e343, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s2666-5247(20)30141-5
    Journal articles | 2020
    Azman AS; Lauer SA; Bhuiyan TR; Luquero FJ; Leung DT; Hegde ST; Harris JB; Paul KK; Khaton F; Ferdous J; Lessler J; Salje H; Qadri F; Gurley ES, 2020, 'Vibrio cholerae O1 transmission in Bangladesh: insights from a nationally representative serosurvey', The Lancet Microbe, 1, pp. e336 - e343, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2666-5247(20)30141-5
    Journal articles | 2020
    Banu S; Haque F; Ahmed S; Sultana S; Rahman MM; Khatun R; Paul KK; Kabir S; Rahman SMM; Banu RS; Islam MS; Ross AG; Clemens JD; Stevens R; Creswell J, 2020, 'Social Enterprise Model (SEM) for private sector tuberculosis screening and care in Bangladesh', PLoS ONE, 15, pp. e0241437, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0241437
    Journal articles | 2020
    Paul KK; Alkabab YMA; Rahman MM; Ahmed S; Amin MJ; Hossain MD; Heysell SK; Banu S, 2020, 'A public-private model to scale up diabetes mellitus screening among people accessing tuberculosis diagnostics in Dhaka, Bangladesh', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 92, pp. 56 - 61, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.01.001
    Journal articles | 2020
    Paul KK; Salje H; Rahman MW; Rahman M; Gurley ES, 2020, 'Comparing insights from clinic-based versus community-based outbreak investigations: a case study of chikungunya in Bangladesh', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 97, pp. 306 - 312, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.05.111
    Journal articles | 2020
    Paul KK; Sazzad HMS; Rahman M; Sultana S; Hossain MJ; Ledermann JP; Burns P; Friedman MS; Flora MS; Fischer M; Hills S; Luby SP; Gurley ES, 2020, 'Hospital-based surveillance for Japanese encephalitis in Bangladesh, 2007–2016: Implications for introduction of immunization', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 99, pp. 69 - 74, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.07.026
    Journal articles | 2020
    Paul RC; Nazneen A; Banik KC; Sumon SA; Paul KK; Akramid A; Uzzaman MS; Iqbal T; Tejada-Strop A; Kamili S; Luby SP; Gidding HF; Hayen A; Gurley ES, 2020, 'Hepatitis e as a cause of adult hospitalization in Bangladesh: Results from an acute jaundice surveillance study in six tertiary hospitals, 2014-2017', PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 14, pp. 1 - 17, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0007586
    Journal articles | 2020
    Qin ZZ; Ahmed S; Sarker MS; Paul K; Adel ASS; Naheyan T; Barrett R; Banu S; Creswell J, 2020, 'Can artificial intelligence (AI) be used to accurately detect tuberculosis (TB) from chest X-rays? An evaluation of five AI products for TB screening and triaging in a high TB burden setting',
    Journal articles | 2019
    Paul RC; Nazneen A; Banik KC; Sumon SA; Paul KK; Akram A; Uzzaman MS; Iqbal T; Tejada-Strop A; Kamili S; Luby SP; Gidding HF; Hayen A; Gurley ES, 2019, 'Hepatitis E as a cause of adult hospitalization in Bangladesh: Results from an acute jaundice surveillance study in six tertiary hospitals, 2014-2017', , pp. 688721, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/688721
    Journal articles | 2019
    Salje H; Paul KK; Paul R; Rodriguez-Barraquer I; Rahman Z; Alam MS; Rahman M; Al-Amin HM; Heffelfinger J; Gurley E, 2019, 'Nationally-representative serostudy of dengue in Bangladesh allows generalizable disease burden estimates', eLife, 8, pp. e42869, http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.42869
    Journal articles | 2018
    Paul KK; Dhar-Chowdhury P; Emdad Haque C; Al-Amin HM; Goswami DR; Heel Kafi MA; Drebot MA; Robbin Lindsay L; Ahsan GU; Abdullah Brooks W, 2018, 'Risk factors for the presence of dengue vector mosquitoes, and determinants of their prevalence and larval site selection in Dhaka, Bangladesh', PLoS ONE, 13, pp. e0199457, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0199457
    Journal articles | 2018
    Paul RC; Gidding HF; Nazneen A; Banik KC; Sumon SA; Paul KK; Luby SP; Gurley ES; Hayen A, 2018, 'A low-cost, community knowledge approach to estimate maternal and jaundice-associated mortality in rural Bangladesh', American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 99, pp. 1633 - 1638, http://dx.doi.org/10.4269/ajtmh.17-0974
    Journal articles | 2017
    Dhar-Chowdhury P; Paul KK; Haque CE; Hossain S; Lindsay LR; Dibernardo A; Brooks WA; Drebot MA, 2017, 'Dengue seroprevalence, seroconversion and risk factors in Dhaka, Bangladesh', PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 11, pp. e0005475, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0005475
    Journal articles | 2016
    Salje H; Lessler J; Paul KK; Azman AS; Rahman MW; Cummings D; Gurley ES; Cauchemez S, 2016, 'How social structures, space, and behaviors shape the spread of infectious diseases using chikungunya as a case study', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113, pp. 13420 - 13425, http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1611391113
  • Preprints | 2024
    Allen S; Dos Santos GR; Paul K; Paul R; Rahman Z; Alam MS; Rahman M; Al-Amin HM; Vanhomwegen J; Smull T; Lee KH; Gurley E; Salje H, 2024, Results of a nationally representative seroprevalence survey of chikungunya virus in Bangladesh, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.25.24304711
    Preprints | 2024
    Duque MP; Naser AM; Paul K; Rahman M; Alam MS; Al-Amin HM; Ziaur Rahman M; Hossain ME; Paul R; Luby S; Cauchemez S; Vanhomwegen J; Gurley E; Salje H, 2024, Informing an investment case for Japanese encephalitis vaccine introduction in Bangladesh, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.06.24303865
    Preprints | 2024
    Hasan MN; Rahman M; Uddin M; Ashrafi SAA; Rahman KM; Paul KK; Sarker MFR; Haque F; Sharma A; Papakonstantinou D; Paudyal P; Asaduzzaman M; Zumla A; Haider N, 2024, Shifting Geographical Transmission Patterns: Characterizing the 2023 Fatal Dengue Outbreak in Bangladesh, , http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.24.24304789
    Preprints | 2024
    O’Driscoll M; Hozé N; Lefrancq N; Ribeiro Dos Santos G; Hoinard D; Rahman MZ; Paul KK; Naser Titu AM; Alam MS; Hossain ME; Vanhomwegen J; Cauchemez S; Gurley ES; Salje H, 2024, Epidemiological inferences from serological responses to cross-reacting pathogens, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.08.12.24311852
    Preprints | 2024
    Paul R; Gidding H; Nazneen A; Banik K; Sumon SA; Paul K; Akram A; Uzzaman S; Tejada-Strop A; Kamili S; Luby S; Hayen A; Gurley E, 2024, Population-based estimates of hepatitis E virus associated mortality in Bangladesh, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.08.24.24312522
    Preprints | 2021
    Azman A; Paul KK; Bhuiyan TR; Koyuncu A; Salje H; Qadri F; Gurley E, 2021, Hepatitis E in Bangladesh: Insights from a National Serosurvey, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.06.14.21258872
    Other | 2021
    Paul K; Macadam I; Green D; Regan D; Gray R, 2021, Dengue transmission risk in a changing climate: Bangladesh could experience a longer dengue fever season in the future, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.24.443300
    Conference Papers | 2021
    Paul KK; Macadam I; Green DL; Regan DG; Gray RT, 2021, 'DENGUE TRANSMISSION RISK IN A CHANGING CLIMATE: BANGLADESH COULD EXPERIENCE A LONGER DENGUE FEVER SEASON IN THE FUTURE', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, pp. 28 - 28, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000778105601085&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Preprints | 2020
    Qin ZZ; Ahmed S; Sarker MS; Paul K; Adel ASS; Naheyan T; Barrett R; Banu S; Creswell J, 2020, Can artificial intelligence (AI) be used to accurately detect tuberculosis (TB) from chest X-rays? An evaluation of five AI products for TB screening and triaging in a high TB burden setting, , http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2006.05509
    Conference Papers | 2019
    Azman AS; Lessler J; Leung D; Luquero FJ; Harris J; Lauer S; Khaton F; Paul KK; Bhuiyan MTR; Salje H; Qadri F; Gurley ES, 2019, 'VIBRIO CHOLERAE TRANSMISSION IN BANGLADESH: INSIGHTS FROM A NATIONAL SEROSURVEY', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, MD, National Harbor, pp. 412 - 412, presented at 68th Annual Meeting of the American-Society-for-Tropical-Medicine-and-Hygiene (ASTMH), MD, National Harbor, 20 November 2019 - 24 November 2019, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000507364504054&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Conference Papers | 2019
    Azman AS; Paul KK; Bhuiyan TR; Koyuncu A; Salje H; Qadri F; Gurley ES, 2019, 'Hepatitis e in Bangladesh: Insights from a National Serosurvey', in Journal of Infectious Diseases, Oxford University Press (OUP), MD, National Harbor, pp. S805 - S812, presented at 68th Annual Meeting of the American-Society-for-Tropical-Medicine-and-Hygiene (ASTMH), MD, National Harbor, 20 November 2019 - 24 November 2019, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiab446
    Conference Papers | 2018
    Salje H; Paul K; Paul R; Rahman Z; Alam M; Rahman M; Al-Amin H; Heffelfinger J; Gurley E, 2018, 'NATIONALLY REPRESENTATIVE SEROSTUDIES FROM BANGLADESH SHOW LARGE-SCALE HETEROGENEITY IN DENGUE RISK', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, LA, New Orleans, pp. 289 - 289, presented at 67th Annual Meeting of the American-Society-of-Tropical-Medicine-and-Hygiene (ASTHM), LA, New Orleans, 28 October 2018 - 01 November 2018, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000461386603254&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Conference Abstracts | 2018
    ten Bosch Q; Salje H; Paul K; Naser A; Rahman M; Heffelfinger J; Alam S; Al-Amin H; Rahman Z; Afroj S; Cummings D; Paul R; Luby S; Gurley E; Cauchemez S, 2018, 'SOCIAL AND ENTOMOLOGICAL DRIVERS INTERCONNECT IN DRIVING SPATIAL PROPAGATION OF CHIKUNGUNYA VIRUS IN BANGLADESH', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, LA, New Orleans, Vol. 99, pp. 204 - 204, presented at 67th Annual Meeting of the American-Society-of-Tropical-Medicine-and-Hygiene (ASTHM), LA, New Orleans, 28 October 2018 - 01 November 2018, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000461386602659&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Conference Abstracts | 2016
    Paul RC; Nazneen A; Banik KC; Sumon SA; Paul KK; Jony MHK; Uzzaman MS; Rahman M; Luby SP; Gidding HEATHER; Hayen ANDREW; Gurley ES, 2016, 'Incidence of adult deaths associated with hepatitis E virus in Bangladesh', in Incidence of adult deaths associated with hepatitis E virus in Bangladesh, Atlanta, USA, presented at American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, Atlanta, USA, 13 November 2016 - 17 November 2016, https://www.astmh.org/ASTMH/media/Documents/ASTMH-2016-Annual-Meeting-Abstract-Book.pdf
    Conference Papers | 2015
    Paul KK; Salje H; Alam S; Paul RC; Rahman MZ; Rahman M; Heffelfinger JD; Gurley ES, 2015, 'DENGUE IN BANGLADESH: RESULTS FROM A NATIONWIDE SEROPREVALENCE STUDY', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, pp. 232 - 233, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000412844102509&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Conference Papers | 2015
    Salje H; Paul K; Azman A; Rahman MW; Rahman M; Cummings D; Lessler J; Cauchemez S; Gurley E, 2015, 'EVIDENCE OF MICROSCALE HUMAN MOVEMENT DRIVING CHIKUNGUNYA SPREAD IN BANGLADESH', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, pp. 42 - 43, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000412844101139&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1

Paul KK et al. Climate change and tropical disease transmission in the Asia-Pacific region. UNSW SCIENTIA PhD scholarship. (2019 - 2023)

ICDDR,B Infectious Diseases Research Fellowship (2011 - 2013)